Dont we just need GA and AZ which both seem like done deals?
Nevada is just gravy right?
Also, word seems to be there are a lot of Clark votes left
Georgia isn’t a done deal as the election won’t start until December.
Where he only needs like 25% of the third party vote.
Pretty sure he is favored heavy in a runoff. Especially if control is at stake. Just like last time
8 Likes
Only 161 years after Alexander II
The political preferences of the people that live there
it really hasn’t been true last several years when you look at historic trends. Like, if you look at the 1984 election 20 year olds had ~40ish percent turnout compared to 50+% we saw in 2020. Young people turnout was lowest in the 90’s (low 30’s and still probably boomers and older gen x’ers) and has been steadily climbing the last decade.
It’s just an extension of this persistent media/boomer narrative that everything is millennials fault. By “millennials” I’m including gen Z because the term is incorrectly used for them a lot.
It’s actually incredible that youth voter turnout is as high as it is, given that they have such little representation in govt.
I stopped reading the other thread 1) because it made me feel bad and 2) because I didn’t quite see where all the negativity was coming from. Polls started tilting R but there were a lot of signs that people were sort of fed up with Republicans and that repealing Roe (and maybe increased attacks on LGBT people from the right) was driving turnout. Glad my man Bouzy seems to have been right the whole time: https://twitter.com/cbouzy/status/1590142493756383233?s=46&t=WfgftgVdH3hoQ-gJG2iHjQ
3 Likes
I mean, you can point blame elsewhere but americans are historically pretty dumb in midterms. The economy is in shambles and this administration is deeply unpopular. It would stand to reason that voters would go the way they typically do in these spots, yet somehow they looked at the situation and were like “nah we’ll take what we have” which is fairly crazy.
I’m wondering what the republican cope is gonna look like - some of them seem to be having some serious introspection right now, at least from the talking head pundits.
2 Likes
This was my thoguht too, but 538 said pre election Walker 2/3 to win a runoff so want to see if there’s something I’m missing. They might just be dead wrong but was surprised when I read that/
I assume they’re just going to pound the drum that it was rigged and continue on their current path.
3 Likes
Not sure if either of these are actually true or just part of the media narrative. Inflation is bad and gas is pretty high but unemployment is low. Stocks are shaky but most people don’t own stocks. Biden has talked about legalizing marijuana and cancelled parts of people’s student debt. It’s possible that both are true and the real driver was disdain for Republicans and Dems doing just enough to drive young people out.
3 Likes
Right, I think this is a key reason for it. I’m not shocked that the youth, who are more likely to be in jobs with limited flexibility or PTO, can’t be fucked to make the time to go vote for some 70yo that doesn’t give a shit about them. I wouldn’t be surprised if the pandemic’s increases in voting flexibility (mail-in votes, early votes) have helped young voters get their votes in. Whether that is sustainable… I’m skeptical but we’ll see.
New York has made big improvements in early voting. In 2020 I waited in line for 3 hours to vote early because there were so few early voting places. This year I was in and out in 10 minutes at a new polling place that’s much closer to home. We still don’t have no-excuse mail-in voting though.
If the young vote was really as high as people are saying then you have to think student loan forgiveness played a big part in the outcome last night
4 Likes
The fact that the economy isn’t really in shambles probably helps but I agree with your overall point.
2 Likes
Imagine if Biden had forgiven 50k. We might have got Wisconsin
1 Like