Yeah thats another one, every other day a WSJ oped victory lapping Zeldin and talking about how crime ends Hochul so open up 538 and uhhhh ok. I mean this could Susan Collins I guess but in a deep blue state really dont see it.
Bet that one small at -400 too.
Here’s my issue: every single polling error in the MAGA era has underestimated the mouth breather vote. These fucking people have nothing else to live for.
Needs to be snarkier. We are trying to have it both ways here.
In my part of western ny the Zeldin ads are popping off and my lawn sign polling shows 100% of them are for Zeldin and other deplorables.
That said I’ll eat my hat if Zeldin wins.
In normal times, you could count on NY to elect a moderate R from time to time, but I can’t see Zeldin winning either.
Tomorrow is the day historians will note as the final blow and the end of the American experiment.
538 model in 2020: 51.5 D seats (actual: 50)
538 model in 2018: 48 D seats (actual: 47)
538 model in 2016: 50 D seats (actual: 48)
538 model in 2014: 47.5 D seats (actual: 46)
538 model in 2022: 49 D seats
We’re obviously due for an error the other way.
Apparently the weather is going to be horrible in NV, good for Dems who disproportionately voted early
counterpoint: history is written by the victors.
Nobody will be reading American history anymore than we read Nazi history for a balanced view of the holocaust.
Take your reality based opinions to the other thread , this one is for hopium, and your bringing me down :)
This is the Hopium thread, not the bleak near-future Sci-Fi thread.
Also, you will read what you are instructed to read.
Nazis didn’t win yet
https://twitter.com/michaelscherer/status/1589788132391751680?s=46&t=PLJjZBVWwfelI-tHl5GH6w
Well you and 6 justices.
But then judges side with democracy
https://twitter.com/marceelias/status/1589764879640326145?s=46&t=PLJjZBVWwfelI-tHl5GH6w
Well until it gets to the six.
Was hoping firewalls meant some sort of literal wall of fire around Penn/Wisc/Ariz/Georgia/NV voting centres but here’s hoping
We got this baby. Prolly just gonna stay home tomorrow we gonna win by so damn much.
