Eh, it was a speculative hypothetical in response to mosdef’s speculative hypothetical, don’t read too much into it being a real possibility.
I guess if it were to be an actual thing, it would go something like: Various trials drag out close to election, all look bad for Trump–>Democratic leadership gets their panties in a bunch about the horrible precedent of throwing him in jail, the possibilities of violence, etc.–>Biden leans on Garland who leans on Jack Smith to offer Trump a plea deal that gets him probation or less, but he has to fuck off from politics forever.
@Cactus I would take Trump to not spend a full night in jail or prison prior to the 2024 elections if you want. That includes bail revocation, etc. Something small for funsies like $100.
One last point. These three dynamics are not isolated and discrete; instead, they’re dynamic and mutually reinforcing. Being an inveterate liar is a major liability in litigation. So is being openly disdainful of the entire process. And so is complexity. But put all three of those together at the same time for the same defendant, and his goose is cooked. So you can put a fork in Donald Trump—he’s done.
That’s a good bet too. I’m definitely not on the side of pundits insisting he’s close to landing himself in jail any day now. I think all judges will be very reluctant to detain him for contempt or violating court orders. But then, I also think there’s a non zero chance he gets tried, convicted, and sentenced before the election. I’m gonna have to think about this one too and lyk
These are tough bets imo. Much tougher than he’ll never get indicted for anything or even convicted. I always said jail is a different story, although I’m liking the chances more and more
Another source told CNN that Trump only agreed to cover a small fee from a data vendor hosting Giuliani’s records. And months later, Trump’s Saveu America PAC paid $340,000 to that vendor, Trustpoint, federal campaign filings show. CNN has now confirmed the payment was intended to settle Giuliani’s outstanding bill with the company.
