Shockingly high odds for Bloomberg
His odds looked a lot better before last night. If debates matter at all his candidacy just took a .22 in the back of the neck and tumbled into a pre dug grave.
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No new polls since the debate I assume. In theory bernie should outperform his polls and mini mike should underperform. But yeah if bernie only gets 33% of delegates itās squeaky bum time at the convention.
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A contested convention shit show changes a bit of itās down to only two candidates by then, right? Like we could have Bernie with 40%, Bloomberg with 35%, and everybody else dropped out. Not going with the plurality there is a much worse look then in a multi-day contested convention.
I applied to be a delegate for Bernie. Now Iām considering applying to be a delegate for a candidate who will end up in 3rd or worse so at least I can switch to Bernie after the first round.
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Itās more complicated than that, Iāll use California as an example because there was a recent poll where Bernie was the only viable candidate that made Reddit very excited heād sweep all 415 delegates and lock up 1/4 of the nomination with 1 state. Only 144 delegates are up for grabs for the winner of the overall vote in California, the other 271 are allocated to winners of individual counties so itās impossible to estimate delegate totals without having super accurate county by county polling.
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Isnāt this what all bernie supporters should be trying to do?
So I never considered it as an option before today, and that Iām not really well versed on the technical details of how a contested convention would play out. When I applied to be a Bernie delegate I had to agree that I would vote for only Bernie and then for whoever the campaign selected after that. Iāll see if I can find the exact wording. In theory, yes, this seems like it would be a smart play for Bernie supporters to pursue.
Edit: āDo you pledge to vote only for Bernie Sanders for President at the Democratic National Convention on each round of voting unless instructed by Bernie Sanders to vote for another candidate?*ā
Thatās how it is worded on the application.
Maybe the candidates will have more power. Are there any consequences if you donāt vote as instructed?
What an awful system.
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Nothing more listed on the initial application itself as far as consequences go.
She probably didnāt like a joke I told
Thatās the moment his presidential bid ended
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My exhaustive 5 minutes of research says no, no consequences. The whole thing is old school. After the first ballot itās horse trading in the back, street fight out front.
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Chicago 1968 - sometimes a little fighting happens on the inside too. Starring? Chuck Todd as this yearās Dan Rather.
Some of the juiciest shots of the debate, especially Liz at Bloomer at the end.
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Youāre right about 2022. I think those who donāt fall in line with the progressive movement get primaried under Sanders, which for me, is just a huge bonus if he wins
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iām not a doug polk fan, but this take is particularly intolerable tonight
https://twitter.com/DougPolkPoker/status/1230397556611379200
iām gonna have to follow doug into the voting booth if you want me to believe he is voting for anyone other than trump on november 3rd
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Young males of a certain stripe struggle with ābossy, shrillā females.
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Iām sure Doug will be open minded about changing his view point.
In the 2nd tweet of that thread he says Bloomberg came off as presidential LOL
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Queen 