Pete is smooth, composed, articulate, and on point. He is the epitome of polish.
Sanders had a couple moments, but he phoned most of it in. Strategically probably not the worst play for him, since he didn’t really need to make much of a mark here, but on the whole his relevance was primarily shutting down Biden.
Sanders’ act is a known study… he basically repeated it. Warren wasn’t inspired and would get crushed by Trump like Hillary. Yang was calm, cool, relaxed. Steyer was good. Klob has no real charisma
I don’t get the hilldawg thing. Is there even a greater than 1% chance of her entering the race? And if she enters, are Americans really gonna nominate the only candidate who has already proven she can’t beat Trump?
I think her predictit price is based on some sort of conspiracy theory/shenanigans/black swan scenario, which is still more likely than Yang or Steyer.
Mayor Pete talking on CNN about wanting to deal Trumpism an overwhelming defeat to put it away for good. Does he not understand that Trumpism is just Republicanism, that Trump is not that different from other Republicans?
PredictIt prices below 10c just basically tend to mean that there exist people who think that thing is possible. Partly it’s that if you bet on No at 94c, which is the asking price, then you’re getting 6.x% on your money over 6 months not taking into account fees and taxes, which isn’t a great deal. The other thing is that each user can only put a maximum amount into any one market, I think it’s $880 or something. This means that if there’s someone crazy enough to wager the max on Hillary winning, you will need on the order of 16 people wanting to get their 6% return on No. This systematically biases all PredictIt underdogs to being priced higher than they should be - slightly higher for small underdogs and much higher, in relative terms, for longshots. In uncapped markets you just get sharp bettors putting up 16x as much money as the chuds.
Yang talking about having a unifying vision on CNN, going down in my book. Polarization is the new normal. Accept it and figure out how to operate in that environment.