Democratic Primaries 2020 - With a whimper

This is just crazy level conspiracy stuff at this point. I’m not making any predictions cause lol predictions. However based on the evidence right now it’s ludicrous to be predicting Biden loses.

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Do you always toss around “crazy level conspiracy stuff” that lightly? Jeez. Trump is favored on PredictIt 49/43. His Gallup approval numbers are as good as they’ve ever been. There’s no way he’s more than a slight dog to win. It’s crazy level stuff to call it ludicrous to predict Biden loses.

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Ok that was hyperbolic.

This is never happening so lol fantasy land but what actually happens if Biden drops out? Are all his electors free to go wild? Do they have to vote the second place? Is it just an open convention?

¯_(ツ)_/¯

Iirc there are rules but they aren’t lolbinding or anything

Amusingly, Predicit also has Biden as a favorite to win the Electoral College.

It was rhetorical. :grin:

Isn’t that the site that paid out Hillary bettors before east coast polls closed on election night 2016?

I mean don’t get me wrong I am probably one of the biggest negative nancies on this forum wrt 2020 but I don’t get why predictit is always treated like it’s the oracle of Delphi and we’re Unstuck Athens around here.

Good news is they only have her at 8% to win the nomination this year (was 12% a week ago) so their accuracy is clearly improving.

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That was a different site, Predictit makes you wait a goddamn month before ever paying out.

But you’re correct that Predictit is heavily loaded with Qanon weirdos and some of the markets are absurd.

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If you read my post as an actual prediction post and not some gallows/WAAF humor, you misread it. I’m very fearful of whether we’ll have free and fair enough elections for Biden to win, but if they’re free and fair I think Biden wins. Right now my “prediction” is far from absolute and varies wildly day-to-day.

Makes sense. The cheating likelihood is super scary especially given it appears nobody in any party or level of government seems to give a fuck about it.

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https://mobile.twitter.com/chicagotribune/status/1261358001673383936

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Picking a woman, who was born outside the US, with a foreign mother might be really annoying to some right-wingers.

Not to mention, she actually served in the Bush War.

That’s sure to antagonize the Trumpkins.

A VP who can’t go on to be President is the most Biden thing possible, especially with rumors of him only serving one term.

EDIT: I was confusing Duckworth with Ted Lieu, my bad.

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Dems love to have former soldiers run for them. In their mind it “proves” that they’re patriotic.

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She must be eligible for the Presidency, or she can’t be VP.

It’s all to wash away the memory of Tank Dukakis.

Her paternal side traces back to the ARW.