Not really seeing any evidence of holiday plans being dashed in my neck of the woods.
Huh. Trump is already the id-monster of the Republican Party/base. So now the monster created a new monster?
Hamilton and Aladdin postponing shows on broadway due to breakthrough cases.
Iām going to the orange bowl dammit
- The Omicron variant of the coronavirus is spreading faster than the Delta variant and is causing infections in people already vaccinated or who have recovered from the Covid disease, the head of the World Health Organization said on Monday.
Havenāt we known this about Omicron since, like, the first day anyone has been talking about Omicron. Isnāt it why weāve all heard of Omicron in the first place?
Weāve suspected this from early reports that the WORLD HEALTH ORGANISATION has now considered in their fullnessā¦and confirmed the aforementioned to be now substantiated with evidence that cannot be refuted. So, no we didnāt know this from the first time Omicron was mentioned, we may have speculated 7 days after it was first mentioned
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No, it wasnāt initially clear that it was spreading that much faster than delta, and even when it looked like it was faster than delta in South Africa, it wasnāt clear it would out compete delta where delta was reasonably abundant (delta was quite low when SA found Omicron).
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Thank you both, thatās helpful.
FTR, itās now spreading rapidly, and it is outcompeting delta, which is pretty terrible news, but weāre awaiting more news on disease severity and various levels of vaccine protection for the many combinations and numbers of vaccines that are out there now in actual people instead of in vitro studies. The in vitro studies suggest that 3 exposures (whether 3 shots or 2 shots and a prior infection) should offer quite a bit of protection, perhaps in the ballpark of 2 shots against delta.
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Time to break out the tables again for New York statewide numbers:
| Date | Persons Tested | Positive Tests | Positivity Rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13-Dec | 142,965 | 8,266 | 5.8 |
| 14-Dec | 232,509 | 12,944 | 5.6 |
| 15-Dec | 277,956 | 18,276 | 6.6 |
| 16-Dec | 263,536 | 21,027 | 8.0 |
| 17-Dec | 290,930 | 21,908 | 7.5 |
| 18-Dec | 267,422 | 22,478 | 8.4 |
| 19-Dec | 258,612 | 23,391 | 9.0 |
NYC numbers alone are pretty insane:
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I was surprised to see that nyc was basically all delta in their latest data available (week of dec 4th, not sure if thatās the beginning or end)
Whoops forgot the link
https://www1.nyc.gov/site/doh/covid/covid-19-data-variants.page
NYC Mayor-elect Adams: āI want this [Omicron] crisis.ā
Thatās largely consistent with the CDC data for the week of 12/4, but, uh, things change fast:
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Wife tested positive this morning. So far she has mild symptoms: sore throat, congestion, and very mild fever (under 100). We are both healthy, double vaxxed and boosted, so I expect (hope) this to be fairly mild.
I didnāt test myself as I could only get one box of the Binax tests, but so far I have no symptoms to speak of. I am trying to be careful with contact and isolation, but I can only do so much of that at home.
This will mess with our Xmas family plans, but all things considered this is actually good timing with both of us having time off work for a couple of weeks.
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Boston a little late for this kind of stuff
After seeing a story about a school going to virtual learning after a gun was found on campus, Iām wondering if any parents are thinking about planting guns in an attempt to shut down schools that arenāt being shut down due to COVID.
Do these data seem really suspect to anyone else?
Like, 96% of new Covid cases in the PNW are now Omicron, yet Covid caseloads in these states are declining over this time period?
exponential growth of omicron combined with exponential decay of delta can produce some weird results in the interim.
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