Delta makes up about half the new cases in Ontario and the percentage of new cases of Delta goes up each day, but the total number is going down. Ontario is currently 75%/22% vaccinated in terms of 1 dose 2 dose for 18+, but two weeks ago that was around 71%/10%. It certainly seems that one dose does offer a lot of protection against Delta.
edit: clarified that number of new Delta cases has been in decline despite increasing in terms of percentage of overall.
This was the area around me about 2 weeks ago.
Curious if by July 4th if basically everyone is maskless in your area.
It really was like a switch flipped here.
Well, the 33% number means that 33% of Delta exposures that would result in infection for an unvaccinated person donāt with one dose of the vaccine. Overall, Delta is more than 2x as infective as the original, which should roughly mean that at least 50% of the interactions that a Delta-infected person has that do result in infection would not result in infection if they were instead infected with the original strain. So itās probably worse to be exposed to Delta with one dose than to be unvaccinated around the original strain. I think youād be on firmer ground to predict that Delta spreads faster in a population where everyone has a 33% effective vaccination vs OG spreading in an unvaccinated population.
Ive has the same experience. 2 weeks ago was still 80 percent plus masked indoors. Now Iām in a clear minority in a mask. Most of the retail employees now unmasked too.
At least havenāt been asked yet why Iām still in a mask. Iām sure it is coming.
I have unmasked at work when only vaccinated coworkers are in the office
US recorded 4,000 new covid cases today and 90 deaths. Lowest number of new cases since March 18, 2020.
My theory is that thereās an inflection point somewhere around 65-75% masked, where the people that just didnāt want to completely stand out now feel safe taking theirs off, putting the threshold below where some other people are cool doing it, etc., to the point where finally a bunch of people remove theirs not to stand out the other way.
Like in most places itāll trickle down very slowly from 90% or whatever to what that inflection point is, then plummet to like 20% really quick. It feels like thatās what happened locally by me.
Super sad to see that vaccine rates are increasing very slowly in America. Belgium and Finland have joined Malta and Hungary among EU countries that have vaccinated more people than the US.
Thing is that not every country in Europe is super-keen on vaccines. For every country like Malta where nearly 80% of the population has at least one shot, there are countries like Hungary that have vaccination rates only slightly higher than the US but increasing day-by-day at about the same rate.
Will the same happen to other European countries? So far thatās not the case. Malta went from 67% with at least one shot to 79% in one month. Nearly every other country in the EU has increased at a faster rate. Those that havenāt (Romania and Bulgaria) are dealing with inadequate supply and poor rollout.
https://mobile.twitter.com/zorinaq/status/1406838809862447104
https://mobile.twitter.com/zorinaq/status/1406714693507375106
https://mobile.twitter.com/zorinaq/status/1406731354851602433
https://mobile.twitter.com/zorinaq/status/1406777047259619330
But I was told itās just like the flu.
Hey, if anyone was at Publix with me on Saturday afternoon, reduce your āunmaskedā count by 1 - I was just running in real quick with my family in the car and forgot my mask. Just count my non-mask as a mask. It felt REALLY weird when I realized I wasnāt wearing one.
I continue to wear my mask on the rare occasions when Iām inside a store. But itās down to like 10-15% of people and I have no idea what Iād respond if someone were to ask me why Iām wearing it. The honest answer would be that (given my vaccination status) I donāt think itās offering any incremental protection to me or anyone else, but I guess Iām hoping to send a signal that mask wearing is ok to unvaccinated people who might be on the fence? That seems ludicrous, but itās the only rationale I have. At some point, probably when Iām literally the only person wearing one, Iām going to stop.
āIt makes me feel like a ninja.ā
Iād say if thatās literally the only reason youāre wearing it, itās probably cool to stop now.
1 of my 3 kids is still unvaccinated, so I guess in theory the mask adds >0% protection from my picking up the virus and passing it along to him. But Iām still not really interacting with anyone outside my family in person, at least indoors, so I donāt think thereās any practical benefit. Maybe Iām too confident in the vaccineās efficacy.
Iām also happy to see that my general area is around 20 cases per 7 days per 100,000 people, which is incredible considering we were over 10 times that level about 8 months ago.
Iāve mentioned this before, but weāre still wearing ours to set the example for our 9 year old daughter, even though she insists that we (me and mom) donāt have to. When sheās vaccinated, weāll likely stop wearing them, barring some significant uptick in cases in the fall.
Oh for sure having an unvaxxed kid in the house is a perfectly cromulent reason to still be better safe than sorry and masking up.
This is literally the only reason I am wearing mine at this point I think. I make my 5 year old and 2 year old wear theirs so imā not going ot be an asshole and not wear mine. But at this point, given the high vaccination rates in NY, and the incredibly low case rates. I think the mask mandate being optional and people who are vaccinated not wearing them is fine. Fuck the unvaccād who donāt mask of course.
Yeah, Iām very cognizant of not being incongruent in front of my daughter when it comes to the things Iām telling her to do and the things Iām doing. I wear my life jacket in my boat whether sheās with me or not, for that same reason. I try not to make her do things that I donāt do myself.
Shit I was even wearing a mask outside at the park, not only to set an example for my girls, but also because I somehow managed to catch a cold for the first time in a year and a half (presumably from my girls).
