COVID-19: Chapter 7 - Brags, Beats, and Variants

The ONS looked at death rates from coronavirus in England and Wales between 9 March and 28 December 2020.

It found 31 in every 100,000 working-age men and 17 in every 100,000 working-age women had died of Covid-19.

This equated to just under 8,000 deaths among 20-64-year-olds.

But care workers, security guards and people working in certain manufacturing roles died at more than three times the rate of their peers.

Two-thirds of deaths were among men.

Among teachers, there were 18 deaths per 100,000 among men and 10 per 100,000 among women.

Covid fatality rate at my plant is exactly 1 death among 117 men.

There is a whole bushel of caveats and limits listed by the authors.

Here is a whopper that didnā€™t get a lot of attention otherwise in the article.

Also

They did not adjust for hours worked with exposure to others. The did some adjust for age but not for race and other risk factors.

There graph show comparisons to known very high risk professions.

The whole damn thing does not support the conclusions to anywhere the degree the headline claims.

Any of the other science folks itt want to read and comment?

A damn whale can swim through the holes in this thing.

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It found 31 in every 100,000 working-age men and 17 in every 100,000 working-age women had died of Covid-19.

secondary school teachers appear to have a very slightly elevated risk at 39 deaths per 100,000 people in men and 21 per 100,000 in women.

Secondary school teachers may have been at slightly, but not measurably, higher risk than the average.

Average: -

Among teachers, there were 18 deaths per 100,000 among men and 10 per 100,000 among women.

Headline seems accurate

Bad time to be a restaurant manager or a grocery worker

Iā€™ve just been told donā€™t get the vaccine it has mercury in it and it will kill me faster then the virus and Iā€™ll be marked down as a covid death. Also it was antifa who stormed the capitalā€¦the more you knowā€¦

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California may have its own virus strain

As a winter Covid surge batters California, scientists wondered if the contagious UK variant had landed in their state.

Two independent research groups - in Los Angeles and San Francisco - are now confirming the existence of a homegrown variant of the virus.

Data suggests it appears to be spreading faster than any other variant in the state.

Both sets of researchers confirmed they had been looking for the UK strain when they stumbled upon the new mutation.

A single instance of the strain was detected back in July but it lay dormant for months.

It has since exploded across the state, likely contributing to a brutal holiday season that has strained hospital capacity to its limits and doubled the stateā€™s death toll.

California has now recorded over three million total cases and more than 37,000 deaths.

Link to aboveā€¦

https://twitter.com/NaderDIssa/status/1353400747069747206

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Just got the Moderna jab. As someone with a huge needle phobia*,I didnā€™t even feel it.

*Got traumatized as a child when they lost my shot record on vaccination day. I got upwards of 8 shots at once.

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Like the USA, Iā€™m sure Ireland has plenty of people who would balk and cry ā€œBut my freedom!ā€

yeah I didnā€™t feel it at the time but my arm was definitely pretty sore for a few days after.

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The whole thing is so stupid:

State health officials now project that ICU capacity, the percentage beds in use, in every region will drop below 85% in four weeks after running at or close to max capacity for weeks.

Not if you get rid of everything that was working to reduce those numbers FFS. Newsom talked a good game early on but heā€™s clearly itching for more French Laundry food or something.

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Yea iā€™m usually rabidly pro-california but at almost every step of the way this has been botched. No way he gets another term. I just really hope people donā€™t kneejerk and go with some deplorable next time.

Iā€™m reading all of the news around this today just shaking my head so much that my neck is sore.

I donā€™t think political ads usually work but theyā€™ll just run ads with him at that dumb restaurant over and over again. Itā€™ll be devastating.

Heā€™s pissing people off like us that think the restrictions are too lax, while simultaneously pissing the people off that are saying itā€™s too strict.

I didnt think thereā€™d be any event that could get me to turn on a democrat governor of california but here we are, Iā€™m not voting again for this clown.

And yea keed nailed it, thatā€™s gonna destroy him.

in my opinion his only real options were to go full OFB or full lockdown and he chose the worst of both worlds.

I canā€™t say with the right words what exactly is pissing me off so badly about it other than this whole county coloring system has been an inconsistent mess from the beginning and it has never really worked, but here we are just weeks from our ICUā€™s being full going ā€œwelp at this rate weā€™ll be at 85% again, looks like weā€™re OFB oh arenā€™t we so smart and scientific about this? :crazy_face:ā€

Just double and triple down on your terrible fucking system rather than admit this shitā€™s not working and is a disaster. And every time itā€™s not working they try to blame people for having small gatherings and stuff, as if thatā€™s the sole cause.

Christ man it really got to me today

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Same with me. In fact, I was a little unnerved by not even feeling a pinch when I was jabbed.

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This. He has tried to please everyone and ended up pleasing no one. One big problem is that the messaging has been an absolute shitshow. Convoluted and inconsistent. There have been so many different versions of ā€œlockdownā€ and various adjustments that itā€™s very easy to just ignore the rules, whatever those are, at this point. Itā€™s incoherent.

And as has been said, the French Laundry thing is just an absolute killer. Indefensible. And he was also sending his kids to small in-person private school while the rest of us hunkered down in our caves.

And I say all this as somebody who used to kind of like him. I know his wife a bit and sheā€™s a sweetheart. But boy oh boy did he ever screw this pooch.

With Californiaā€™s top two primary, maybe he gets squeezed from both sides and doesnā€™t make it to the general election if he runs.

I donā€™t get all the vitriol over this. I thought Newsom ā€œliftingā€ the state-wide stay-at-home order merely placed us back in the Countiesā€™ color-coded tier scheme. My county is not easing any restrictions as far as I know. And if any other counties are doing so, that is what they (their loudest citizens) presumably want.

The first article I was read today was talking about getting (partially) back to school in early February.

This article talks about a ā€œsuper-crisisā€ level of the anti-epidemic system in place in the Czech Republic.

Basically, the whole model created by the Minister of Health is total horseshit. Weā€™ve been in ā€œLevel 4ā€ (of 5) for almost two weeks but havenā€™t loosened restrictions. Makes no sense how this model says things are getting better while the minister is simultaneously saying that we may have to restrict things even further than they are now.