Meanwhile in Flor-i-duh
https://twitter.com/annaforflorida/status/1335401201198829568?s=21
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Looks like national positivity 7 day leveled off over the holiday but is heading north again. Just over 10%. Should be safe to assume that the 7 day case rate is being suppressed by increasing amount due to limiting testing.
So if the growth is 2% then the real growth is probably 2.5-3% as an estimate.
I have put this into graphical representation.
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Pretty good site based on science.
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Hi, I’m Scott Hanson, bringing you Quad Pozzed. Your two weeks of uninterrupted suffering starts…right now!
Not sure if ponies but what in the absolute fuck. I feel terrible for these minks. Also apparently a fuckton of these minks showed up in Spain with a new strain of covid apparently completely resistant to all our new vaccines. I’ll try to find the link
Fuuuuuuuuuuck.
There were seven different strains in minks with mutations in the spike protein, one had four mutations in the spike protein.
This has to be a really bad sign for when we get the vaccine right? It’ll be under pressure to mutate then and apparently the spike protein can mutate.
This makes it sound like vaccines will be a temporary reprieve and this thing is here to stay and will just keep mutating.
Any one with more scientific knowledge have any good news here? Please tell me I’m totally off base.
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I guess the hope would be that since the spike protein is how it attaches to our cells, any mutation to the spike protein would render it less transmissible. 12 people in Denmark got that strain and it doesn’t seem to have led to a massive outbreak. So that’s good, I guess.
If vaccines fails because of mutations, though, it’s a wrap. All shutdowns are done, all occupancy restrictions are done, mask compliance will go to like 25% and however many people die a year from it will be the new normal with life expectancy dipping substantially. Pretty gruesome if we head down that path.
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Yea my friend basically says the same thing except she first got sick in September. Calls it having brain fog. Has 5 degrees so she isn’t some Karen dope whining.
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I think we all kind of know there are a lot of likely to semi-likely to possible outcomes that are horrible we still have to fade:
-Morons refusing to take the vaccine.
-Production and distribution issues which make it basically impossible to vaccinate enough people in a timely manner to end this in 2021.
-The vaccine not providing long lasting immunity.
-The virus being able to mutate enough to mean the vaccine isn’t the endgame and this ends up being a permanent illness that we deal with.
-Especially with these MRNA vaccines that have literally never been used some longer term negative side effects that we don’t know about yet because we have not reached the long term.
-Long term side effects from the virus itself that will affect 40-50% of the worlds population before we can get enough people vaccinated to end it.
-Political turmoil and increasing unrest as the DO SOMETHING and the MAH FREEDOMS crowd both get more and more upset if this thing does not end in 2021.
-The potential economic consequences of a massive government debt/printing bubble.
That is not really a comprehensive list and I think some of those things are more likely to occur than others but we need to win like 10 80/20 flips for this thing to actually end in 2021.
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So I have Silicon Valley VC types on my Twitter feed still arguing for the “Sweden Model.”
Has this been totally debunked by now or is there any merit at all to just going full helter skelter herd immunity?
And if this is really “working” in Sweden, why is there no evidence that herd immunity is being achieved in the U.S., where infections are highest in the world?
Its been debunked about 100 times over.
They have been worse at everything than their neighbors and are no closer to “herd immunity” (this isn’t a thing fwiw).
Herd immunity is just a thing for people who don’t want to be inconvenienced to say they have a strategy. Its the “going all in blind” poker strategy adopted for viruses. It has no chance of long term success.
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Isn’t thst a good thing for the Trump cultists? Sounds like Handmaids Tale to me, AKA the American Conservative wet dream.
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I could get behind a draft that requires a year of public service. Some huge root causes of American problems are a) people hate the government without actually knowing what it does and b) never meeting people that are different than them.
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It’s insane to even talk about with a highly effective vaccine in production.
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I don’t have time to read this in detail now but I do love that it confirms the least amount of circulating particles when all the windows are open.
A new study looks at how airflow patterns inside the passenger cabin of a car might affect the transmission of SARS-CoV-2 and other airborne pathogens. Using computer simulations, the study looked at the risk of aerosol particles being shared between a driver and a passenger in different window configurations. Redder shades indicate more particles. Risk was shown to be higher with windows closed (top left), and decreasing with each window opened. The best case was having all windows open (bottom right). Credit: Breuer lab / Brown University
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Very much this. I feel shitty for that but I’m really messed up from covid. Despite the danger, going back to teach will be better so long as everybody in the school abides by the rules.
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I want to see a Venn diagram of people playing the Powerball and people who think that even if they get it they will probably survive.
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Does this mean in all of Africa only 40000 people will die of Covid in 2020? What am I misunderstanding? That cannot possibly be true.