COVID-19: Chapter 5 - BACK TO SCHOOL

Hey now. You get this odds things all wrong just like at the poker table. It either
A happens
B doesn’t happen

That’s 50/50 every damn time. Yeesh.

Sweden’s top epidemiologist should plan on living a few years in a small rectangular room with bars in the door.

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Literally zero sympathy for the suffering any of these people will go through before dying alone. None. I just hope they don’t take out any innocent bystanders on their way to the big bike rally in the sky.

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This is a depressing question:

https://twitter.com/tiffanyjmumm/status/1292097992032497664

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I don’t see why America’s solution isn’t just to shoot the fuck out of the virus the same way as nuking hurricanes.

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We have people working on miniature bullets right now, but it’s really tough for us since bigger is always better.

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More in the occasional series of fantastic news from around the world to warm the cockles of your hearts

Greece is “formally” in the midst of a second wave of the coronavirus pandemic, one of the country’s top infectious disease experts has told the Guardian, writes Helena Smith , the Guardian’s Athens correspondent.

After recording its highest number of positive diagnoses ever – a record 203 cases on Sunday – the nation has reached a critical juncture in its ability to contain further spread of the virus.

“We can say that Greece has formally entered a second wave of the epidemic. This is the point that we could win or lose the battle,” said Gkikas Magiorkinis, assistant professor of hygiene and epidemiology at Athens university. The former Oxford University academic, among the expert scientists advising the government, forecast cases climbing to 350 a day if the “dramatic increase” continued unabated.

“Unless there is a change in the trend that we are seeing we are likely to propose more measures along the lines we have seen in Poros,” he added referring to the Argo Saronic island where a surge in cases late last week prompted authorities to announce an unprecedented crackdown including the closures of clubs, bars and restaurants from 11pm.

The Greek health minister Vasillis Kikilias hinted that further containment measures were likely to be announced later on Monday warning “transmission of the virus is growing dangerously.”

Until this month, Greek health officials appeared to have the epidemic under control but Magiorkinis said the abrupt rise, compounded by a sudden jump in the number requiring intubation, up from nine on August 1 to 22 last night, left no doubt that the highly contagious disease was working its way through society. Prior to additional precautionary measures being enforced last week - not least mask-wearing in all enclosed spaces - Greece had seen its effective reproductive number, or R rate of the coronavirus, reach 1.

“Our main concern is the degree to which this epidemic can stretch any health system,” he said. “Greece currently has around 1,000 beds that can support Covid-19 patients … no health system, anywhere in the world, can cope effectively with a full epidemic resurgence. In the next two weeks we could have as many as 100 people intubated, almost matching the number we had at the
height of the pandemic.”

Tourism has partly played a role for the sudden increase. But echoing government officials, Magiorkinis attributed the resurgence mostly to lax observance of hygiene protocols by Greeks particularly younger generations who have flooded bars and beaches in recent weeks.

Authorities in Iran have shut down a newspaper after it published remarks by an expert who said that official figures on the country’s coronavirus outbreak only account for 5% of the real toll, according to the Associated Press .

Mohammad Reza Sadi, the editor-in-chief of Jahane Sanat, told the official IRNA news agency that authorities closed his newspaper, which began publishing in 2004 and was mainly focused on business news.

On Sunday, the daily quoted Mohammad Reza Mahboobfar, an epidemiologist the paper said had worked on the government’s anti-coronavirus campaign, as saying the true number of cases and deaths in Iran could be 20 times the number reported by the health ministry.

He also said the virus was detected in Iran a month earlier than 19 February, when authorities announced the first confirmed case. He said they held up the announcement until after the commemorations of the anniversary of the 1979 Islamic Revolution and parliamentary elections earlier that month.

“The administration resorted to secrecy for political and security reasons,” he said, and only provided “engineered statistics” to the public.

Authorities in Iran have come under heavy criticism since the start of the pandemic because of their reluctance to impose the kind of sweeping restrictions seen elsewhere in the region. The country has suffered the deadliest outbreak in the Middle East.

In Iran , 189 more people have died from Covid-19 in the past 24 hours, the country’s health ministry has said, according to the Islamic Republic News Agency.

Sima Sadat Lari, the health ministry spokeswoman, said the total death toll from the coronavirus outbreak in Iran had now reached 18,616.

Meanwhile, 2,132 more people had tested positive for the virus over the past 24 hours, bringing the total number of cases in the country, scene of the Middle East’s worst outbreak, to 328,844, 286,642 of whom have recovered.

There were 3,992 Covid-19 patients in a critical condition in intensive care units, Lari said.

The Australian state of Victoria has recorded 322 new coronavirus cases in the last 24 hours, the state’s health department said on Monday.

Victoria is home to Melbourne, which is expected to remain under strict Stage-4 lockdown until 13 September.

The government said there were 19 fatalities from the virus in the last day, which is the deadliest day for the state so far. Yesterday was the previous record, with 17 deaths.

This brings Australia’s death toll from the pandemic so far to over 300 for the first time, with 314 deaths recorded.

The cases mark the most significant drop since the second wave began.

Globally coronavirus cases are nearing 20m, with almost 730,000 known deaths. The current number of confirmed infections stands at 19,792,519, according to data from Johns Hopkins University, with total new cases daily averaging more than 250,000.

No need for mini bullets. Regular sized bullets are way bigger than the virus, so just one shot can take out like a million virus particles.

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This is not true.

This does not support your original statement. It is not a randomized sample, so you can’t apply it to a general population. It also notably doesn’t have a before for these patients, so you don’t know what abnormalities are new or old. Finally, cardiovascular MRI sucks. It’s neither sensitive or specific for much. Non-invasive rapid cardiac imaging has been the holy grail for years now, but there’s a reason why invasive caths (basically they put a wire in your groin, wind it up to your heart, and shoot dye in there) are the gold standard.

This presumes some sort of strong cultural significance for the mlb that hasn’t existed in a few decades

Yep, we are about to enter a whole new era of latchkey kids, except these ones wont be leaving the house and arriving later to nobody being there, they’ll just be by themselves all day.

shut-in kids? The neglected? home aloners?

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This presumes deplorables have a culture to begin with. They’ll readily latch on to anything that confirms their broken worldview.

Or they’ll point at the NFL instead.

Big week for COVID stats. Over the last couple weeks, we’ve seen a big decline in 7DMA from around 70,000 cases per day to around 55,000 cases per day. But the rate of improvement seems to be leveling off.

This week will reveal whether we can keep declining steadily, or if ~50,000 cases per day is where we take a pause.

Has Florida stated that they’re going to start testing and reporting again any time soon?

Don’t even worry about it! FL reporting only 4,247 new cases and 91 deaths today.

15% positive

https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/us/florida-reports-record-covid-19-hospitalizations/ar-BB17NfJV?li=BBnb7Kz

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lol wat

https://twitter.com/journalsentinel/status/1292858008662417408

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