I’m including these continents, excluding the rest
Almost impossible anywhere in the first world
Not really up to me to fact check your claims - cite?
I think this is backwards. CFR should be declining as testing increases, because cases are being identified both earlier than they were (so treatment is more effective) and because a greater percentage of identified cases are milder and asymptomatic cases.
That’s just lol. Black market labor (labour) is something like 7% of the GDP in the UK (where you’re from, right?). But for what I’d do for work if I did work/travel, which is something online, tons of people do it while travelling or living abroad and most of them do it illegally.
It’s not up to you to fact check my claim that you should google the answer to your question? Do I have that right?
Travelling, yes (3 months). Living, not so much.
Great, you’re all moving to Thailand (after the airspace reopens) and then leaving the country every 30 days to renew your travel visa. You’ll not be reporting income so every traffic ticket / stop could result in you visiting prison beacause it’s a little bit obvious you’re just renewing travel visas to live in a country.
Great way to move abroad and set up a new life.
No need to google. South America, Africa. Anywhere else you’ll need to be a retiree with a $1m banked or offer something a bit newer than Solar Installation before you’ll make a shortlist.
miliboo lives in South America and I don’t remember if he said he bothers to renew his visa or just doesn’t worry because it’s like a $10 fine. Something like that.
I’m not comparing treatment or testing in April to now. I’m using CFR given treatment and testing a month ago to extrapolate CFR going forward - which should presumably be more consistent.
I’m assuming 5% CFR. But if it’s 2% or 10% - the analysis doesn’t change much. It just creates a different lag time. But 5% and a month is borne out by various studies and sanity checks.
South America is good. No problem with South America.
Places you might want to live… Australia, Norway… dare I say it, UK - no chance
Even if the testing levels are constant, I would still expect a declining CFR as long as sicker people are more likely to get tested earlier and the rate of testing is greater than the rate of new infection.
I’m moving to your country and taking a jerb out of spite now.
And why wouldn’t I want to live in South America? It’s better than the UK.
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Some of us here might want to live in places like South America
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Hope you enjoy the paycut buddy 
My younger brother is in WA for the last 7 years, (very low 6 figures) wants to return to UK but the pay cut is the thing ($100k to $65k)
Churchill’s doing a bit. Let’s move on.
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It’ll work out ok because I’m going to scam on your social welfare state.
I expect a rising CFR (in this new red state wave) because the leading edge of this wave is a bunch of 20-year-olds in bars. The next generations will be at least some of them giving it to older and at-risk people in their lives or some hapless cashier when they refuse to wear a mask.
Again - we’re just talking comparing one month ago to now. I’m not even considering April. Testing and treatment isn’t going to change that much over 1 month imo.
It’s getting hard to get a test in these states. When you see 20-30% positivity rate that means really sick people at hospitals make up a big portion of your testing pool.
I would worry about gubmint instability in most any South American country, seems like at some point they all suffer from it, either from internal strife or external (read US) meddling.
In my “googling” I’ve found all the lists begin the same
- Be rich
- Don’t be not rich
Cover those and you can emigrate most anywhere with no worries
If you can live on the $108 a week, go for it.
Of course, with US passport, without resident status (5+ years for US citizens) and no National Insurance number you won’t qualify.
Maybe you could apply for Asylum and jump the line
Over/Under on how many days it will be until Florida passes New York?
It should probably be set around 15, but I think it will be in around 17 days unless some really good stuff happens for them in the meantime. It probably could be as soon as 13 or 14 days or worse depending on how bad it gets.
Based on the most recent SDI through Sunday, I think they’re going to be well below their target SDI for the most recent measured period (they’re at 36 Wed. through Sun., so they might be below 35 for the week). That means they’re likely going to have another potential jump in 2 weeks after briefly getting back to their target SDI guess in the last measured period. They’d been on a 5 week target SDI guess hiatus prior to that. Florida’s target SDI guess is 40+ and if right you don’t want to be 5+ points below the target SDI.
I’ll say it again:
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Oklahoma’s Stitt ‘first US governor to test positive for Covid-19’
Oklahoma Governor Kevin Stitt has announced he has tested positive for Covid-19. He is the first governor to publicly announce a virus diagnosis so far, US media report.
“I feel fine, I felt a little bit achy yesterday,” the Republican governor told reporters. He said is isolating from his family - who have tested negative - and working from home.
Stitt attended President Trump’s controversial rally in Tulsa, Oklahoma, on 20 June, which local health officials have said was likely to have contributed to the city’s recent spike in Covid-19 cases.
The governor also told reporters he does not plan to make masks mandatory across the state.
“I’m so proud of how we’ve handled it this far,” he said of the state’s response to the pandemic.
Shortly after the announcement, the Oklahoma Department of Health reported 1,075 additional cases - a new single-day record for the state, according to KOCO News.
I think it’s called being on the dole over in the UK.