COVID-19: Chapter 4 - OPEN FOR BUSINESS

I think people in a lot of these red states are too far gone for a mask mandate to make a huge difference anyway. There still won’t be any local enforcement and they don’t care who the order came down from.

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FC Dallas reportedly had zero positive tests when they hopped on the plane to Orlando to join the MLS bubble last week. After the first round of tests in Florida they had 2 covid positives. Now it’s 9 players and 1 coach . Their first scheduled game is a week from today. Doesn’t look good.

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Data nerds, beware.

Covid testing may be halted &/or reduced over the holiday weekend:

https://www.cbs46.com/news/dekalb-county-covid-19-testing-sites-closed-for-july-4-weekend/article_aec00b08-bc98-11ea-85fe-7733f57e84c6.html

MLS and NBA absolutely incompetent putting their players in Florida. NHL going with Edmonton/Toronto for a reason.

A story in 4 parts:

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NBA announced Florida restart on June 5th. MLS on June 10th.

So the curve hadn’t gotten out of control by those dates, but the NHL’s decision to hold off on an early decision on where to restart their bubble looks to be decisively prudent.

USL (2nd division US soccer league) is restarting with regional mini-leagues, playing in home stadiums, somewhat similar to MLB.

Basically, the “bubble” seems to be more intrusive than what was planned for NBA/MLS in Florida though. They’re apparently literally building a wall in Edmonton.

I wouldnt really worry about a big outbreak in Alberta, Toronto is possible I guess.

I understand why the MLS/MBA did it where they did. The infrastructure in Florida is much better than say, Edmonton. Florida is a much nicer place if you’re a millionaire athlete than Edmonton. But, you had to be 100% confident these places would remain in lockdown.

Wow, some early but promising results showing that young children rarely infect other people. Pre-print here:

https://pediatrics.aappublications.org/content/early/2020/05/22/peds.2020-004879

edit: this is basically my number one wish in the world, for personal reasons, so please read critically and tell me I should be more skeptical.

From March 10 – April 10, 2020, all children <16 years of age diagnosed at Geneva University Hospital (N=40) underwent contact tracing to identify infected household contacts (HHC). Of 39 evaluable households, in only three (8%) was a child the suspected index case, with symptom onset preceding illness in adult HHCs. In all other households, the child developed symptoms after or concurrent with adult HHCs, suggesting that the child was not the source of infection, and that children most frequently acquire COVID-19 from adults, rather than transmitting it to them.

These findings are consistent with other recently published household contact investigations in China. Of 68 children with confirmed COVID-19 admitted to Qingdao Women’s and Children’s Hospital from January 20 – February 27, 2020, and with complete epidemiological data, 65 (95.59%) cases were HHCs of previously infected adults.7 Of 10 at University of California, Irvine Medical Library Serials on July 2, 2020www.aappublications.org/newsDownloaded from
Pre-publication Release©2020 American Academy of Pediatricschildren hospitalized outside Wuhan, China, in only one was there possible child to adult transmission, based on symptom chronology

In an intriguing study from France, a nine year-old boy with respiratory symptoms associated with picornavirus, influenza A, and SARS-CoV-2 coinfection was found to have exposed over 80 classmates at three schools; no secondary contacts became infected, despite numerous influenza infections within the schools, suggesting an environment conducive to respiratory virus transmission.

Based on these data, SARS-CoV-2 transmission in schools may be less important in community transmission than initially feared. This would be another manner by which SARS-CoV-2 differs drastically from influenza, for which school-based transmission is well recognized as a significant driver of epidemic disease and forms the basis for most evidence regarding school closures as public health strategy.11,12 While two reports are far from definitive, they provide early reassurance that school-based transmission could be a manageable problem and school closures may not have to be a foregone conclusion, particularly for elementary school aged-children who appear to be at the lowest risk of infection. Additional support comes from mathematical models, which find that school closures alone may be insufficient to halt epidemic spread13 and have modest overall impacts compared to broader, community-wide physical distancing measures.

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I bet there is a large percentage of people that want to wear mask but also have to much pride/ego or are worried about what their “friends” might think.

At least this gives them an excuse.

Canada just made an exception for MLB and the Blue Jays will be holding their spring training in Toronto. I think players had to test negative twice before being let on the plane.

Mom went to the doctor a week ago. Its her local doctor and its a small office that is taking lots of precautionary measures. I think its a bad idea but didn’t want to argue against a doctor Anyways she took a nap and her oxygen slipped off her nose and I woke her up and she was shakey, O2 levels were 75, and she has a low grade fever as well 100.2

Her O2 is back up to 97 now and shes feeling better but still has a low grade fever. We did a telehealth and they said she doesn’t have any of the other symptoms so we shouldn’t worry. Still stressed though.

Should I be pushing back hard against them wanting her to come in for check ups? I mean this was the first one in about 4 months but still seems insane to me.

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Can you get her tested somewhere soon?

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80 year old Grandpa Huehuecoyotl has had breathing problems and coughing fits for the last two days. He’s getting tested for coronavirus tomorrow.

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Herman Cain is the man. This is very sad news.

Has he always been a Trumper?

https://twitter.com/DrEricDing/status/1278812480916029441

I’m looking into it but there doesn’t seem to be any drive through testing near me in socal, so if we did it would be something opening her up to more exposure. At that point is it still worth it?

I’m asking my sis who is a nurse practitioner if she knows of a place/good way and what we should do.

If her O2 is good and her fever is low grade, are they going to be able to do anything for her at the hospital?

No. Sister said it would be good to know though just so we can push her to go to the hospital sooner when if symptoms worsen so then we can start treatments sooner.

She suggested I go get tested although I haven’t been around anyone. But if my mom has it there would be a good chance I have it I guess.

https://twitter.com/consequence/status/1278754479324770304?s=21

He caught a lot of pushback after saying this

https://twitter.com/ew/status/1278471001546919936?s=21

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