Thanks - that’s a great visual tool.
Can you see high NY got on their worst few weeks? That’s very roughly your demarcation line for hospital overload.
Actually testing wasn’t as good back then so comparing cases from then to now might not be as helpful.
It seems like hospital overload is pretty unlikely, i hope, until the winter months when flu and pneumonia also peak. Covid thankfully happened after the peaks for those for this past year. The census of most hospitals is quite low in the late spring-early fall time period and then peaks in the winter months.
If we actually overrun a hospital in the summer months that would be quite a feat for that reason alone. In additional to possibly a less conducive transmission environment in the summer you just aren’t that likely to tip over a hospital system even with an increase in cases over the next few months because of the availability of hospital beds right now.
NY was ~7 fold higher at its peak. That would be about 40/100k. Again hospital capacity is very local. Some small cities may hit a limit at much lower levels.
I haven’t tried to make sense of the hospitalization data but it seems like the rate has gone down, i think that is largely from testing increases catching many more no or low symptoms positives.
Here is NY is cases per day (7 day ave)
Anecdotally my wife’s ICU was down to zero Covid patients for a few days a couple weeks ago. They are back to having several now. That means basically nothing I realize but the next few weeks is where I would expect to see an increase from reopening if it is going to happen.
They also have an all time new high number of cases today. Rut roh?
First off are there zero rules about how the casinos are supposed to be operating? Because that looks about 3x worse than a typical 9am at the D. I can’t imagine how bad it will be at night. Secondly I would estimate mask wearing at about 5% in that video.
This country is a mess.
LOL @ the pole dancers with masks.
Governor of Nevada: “Ok great, Nevada doesn’t have that many cases. I know what we do, we open up the casinos and have people fly from all over the most infested Covid-19 nation on earth to mingle, drink and gamble without masks!”
Holy shit that is next-level surreal.
Going to try and see what happens if I set my exponent to “infinity”.
Oh yeah. gg humanity. Next up lizard people. (Sleestaks anyone)
On a typical 9am people are working but a bunch of people have lost their jobs and are desperate to get out of their homes.
I still can’t get over the fact that we have 20k+ cases/1k deaths a day and are trending up or flat in all but the most badly originally affected areas and 80% of the population has literally just gone back to normal without a care in the world. Can’t even be bothered to take the slightest precaution.
The areas increasing are almost all predictably the ones that have lifted their restrictions while the states like NY/NJ/MI all continue to trend down with restrictions. It doesn’t take much intelligence to see the correlation. Even people in this forum were waiting to see confirmation in the data that reopening was going to cause increases in cases but have mostly checked out now that it is here. We have some data now. Florida and Texas 7DMA is up over 60% since the end of lockdown on April 30 as well as a whole host of other early reopening states that have at best stayed flat but mostly increased.
The state leadership pretending to do these dumbass phases also pisses me off. None of them meet the criteria to do any of it but they are all full steam ahead and pretending somehow it is responsible. It is going to kill hundreds of thousands of people and barely anyone cares.
Pole dancer with a mask is straight out of some cheesy 80’s sci-fi movie.
In retrospect it seems obvious this would happen, given our leaders have purely mercenary interests.
It’s the only COVID case Republicans want counted.
Holy shit, the table dancers with masks on.
It’s seriously something you would see in an 80s sci fi movie
The first thing I think to do when unemployed?
Gamble.
