Well the thing is they’re automatically assuming its rushed no matter what scientists/doctors say. Some even because they think Trump will force it.
But yeah I get being scared.
Once Fauci takes it, and other reputable doctors, I’ll take it.
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Lol wtf?
The body count isn’t going to change shit. Even a million dead isn’t going to matter. This country is hopeless.
Hannity was having one on this article yesterday on his radio show.
I skimmed through them and it is a mix of people roasting him and denialists. R0 actually decreasing by reopening is quite the spicy take though. I’m sure it is just total coincidence that every country that locked down saw their curve bend 2-4 weeks after lockdown with the ones locking down earliest and hardest having the best results and the countries like the US and Brazil with lax, late or non-existant lockdowns getting their asses kicked.
But but but Sweden!
Also we should really hope this guy sucks at calculating R0 because if not and we really were that close to 1 in our version of lockdown we are in big trouble.
After restarting earlier this evening at the Tampa Hard Rock, poker will be resuming tomorrow at 10am at Best Bet in Jacksonville. I guess it won’t be long before its open again all over the state.
Yeah in NLHE it varies by player pool. In some it’s terrible, in others it’s good.
Hypothetically, if you’re a competent country/state and you increase testing and contact tracing before you end the lockdown, and then get high levels of mask compliance, you might be able to maintain a lower R0?
For some reason I always thought JP Morgan was a bank. Never knew it was an esteemed research institution in infectious disease.
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UP ahead of the curve again. Alabama going with the, “if you all are good little boys and girls and wear your masks, you’ll get to have football” messaging that someone here pitched a while back.
https://twitter.com/AlabamaFTBL/status/1263560322851508224?s=19
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Probably ponied, but because Alabama rural areas all have no hospitals anymore because of course they don’t, the hospitals are actually getting overwhelmed by rural people as well as urban. This does not appear to just be hitting minorities in Alabama.
FYP
About that, by the way.
Shot (April 27):
Sweden’s ambassador to the United States has said the capital of the Nordic country could reach herd immunity by May - a result of a controversial response to the coronavirus pandemic involving few public restrictions.
“About 30 percent of people in Stockholm have reached a level of immunity,” Karin Ulrika Olofsdotter told National Public Radio (NPR).
Chaser (now):
Just 7.3% of Stockholm’s inhabitants had developed Covid-19 antibodies by the end of April, according to a study, raising concerns that the country’s light-touch approach to the coronavirus may not be helping it build up broad immunity.
The research by Sweden’s public health agency comes as Finland warned it would be risky to welcome Swedish tourists after figures suggested the country’s death rate per capita was the highest in Europe over the seven days to 19 May.
Sweden’s state epidemiologist, Anders Tegnell, said the antibodies figure was “a bit lower than we’d thought”, but added that it reflected the situation some weeks ago and he believed that by now “a little more than 20%” of the capital’s population had probably contracted the virus.
Also check out this fucking guy:
However, the public health agency had previously said it expected about 25% to have been infected by 1 May and Tom Britton, a maths professor who helped develop its forecasting model, said the figure from the study was surprising.
“It means either the calculations made by the agency and myself are quite wrong, which is possible, but if that’s the case it’s surprising they are so wrong,” he told the newspaper Dagens Nyheter.
Here is the sophisticated mathematical modelling they used:
Mathematical modelling from Swedish health officials predicts that around 26 per cent of people in the Stockholm region (or around 690,000 people) will be infected, or will have been previously infected, by May 1.
This is based on the estimation that for every confirmed case of coronavirus in the region, there are at least 75 undetected cases.
Fuck knows where they pulled that figure from. No data I have ever seen has suggested the number of hidden cases is that large. Recent antibody testing in Spain where there was a rampant epidemic suggested true caseload was only 10x higher than known cases.
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lolz at the idea that we know any of these R0 values to the second decimal place. What an absurd chart.
Sweden’s state epidemiologist, Anders Tegnell, said the antibodies figure was “a bit lower than we’d thought”, but added that it reflected the situation some weeks ago and he believed that by now “a little more than 20%” of the capital’s population had probably contracted the virus.
I would love to know where this guy gets his numbers from. The population of Stockholm County is 2,377,081. If 7.3% of people had antibodies at the beginning of May, that means 173,527 people had the virus. Known cases at that time were 8,158, so caseload was 21.27 times higher than known - higher than other places I’ve seen, but still nowhere near the 75x number they were using.
The current Stockholm case number is 10,882. Multiply by 21.27 and you get 231,460, which is 9.7% of the population. Tegnell is suggesting a more-than-doubling of true case numbers relative to known case numbers in the last few weeks. Like I’m not an epidemiologist, but where is the evidence for this? I don’t get it.
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Wow unreal. If free markets truly worked to perfection, the consulting team of UP would be fielding bids to help major governments make better decisions on this.
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The thought makes them feel all warm and fuzzy inside and, apparently, that’s about all the evidence needed.
“I’ve got some good news and some bad news. First, only 7% of our population has thus far been infected by the deadly Covid virus.”
“What’s the bad news?”
“That is the bad news.”
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