I’ll take your word for it, but I definitely don’t think it’s a slam dunk. I imagine it is easy for anti-vaxxer jurors to overlook details like that in the service of their agenda.
No jury trial ever is a slam dunk, you are always drawing live to crazy holdout jurors. However, you don’t get off if there is a mistrial, you are retried. I don’t think it’s likely there are enough ardent anti-vaxxers who get past jury selection and tank multiple go rounds of this case. Again, it would be different if they were giving these out for free. But making 1.5 mil off it? You need a really crazy asshole anti-vaxxer who lies their way through jury selection and then holds out against 11 others to make that hang.
Just want to be clear that I’m playing devil’s advocate here, because I don’t agree with that article. But your criticisms are easily handled.
He is not suggesting that you should not get vaccinated. If someone hasn’t had it and hasn’t been vaccinated, he is not against hitting them with a mandate. If he said something contrary to that, then I missed it and I apologize. All he is saying is that if you happened to already get it, then that should satisfy the mandate. Presumably if you haven’t had it yet, he would recommend vaccination (once again I didn’t see anything to the contrary).
I guess I just feel like those people are plentiful. I very well could be wrong. I’m pretty sure they will take a deal, so I doubt we’ll get to see it play out.
Jury room pressures are intense and hung juries are generally rare. But yes, I agree, the most likely outcome is a plea. New York does not have mandatory minimums for nonviolent class ‘D’ felonies (which is what they are charged with), so they could potentially avoid prison here, or at worst, be looking at low prison and be program eligible such that they do very little actual prison time.
CN clarified it upthread, I think it was him. High acidic substances like soda can cause a false positive. That said, still overwhelmingly likely that hte positive is a positive.
I don’t think it’s acid, it’s just that there’s a lot of foreign substances that, if introduced, can cause a false positive. LFTs are just chemical reactions that create a line via thin layer chromotography, lots of things can screw that up. PCR is a lot more specific because it requires binding to a specific target nucleic acid.
Prior infection should not count in general with what we know about this thing.
I’d probably be ok with a recent infection timeline on the order of the recommended delay between a positive test and the next shot in the series. But no longer than that (what’s current, 90 days?).
Sorry no cites. I’ve been through the ringer this week.
If that’s the case then to be consistent, you would have to mandate booster. Most places with mandate have only mandated initial series (i.e., J&J x 1, or Modern/Pfizer x 2). I’d be fine with mandating boosters FWIW.
It doesn’t make any sense to put a clock on prior infection but no clock on recency of vaccination (especially based on the data that he quoted in the paper, which I admittedly haven’t looked into yet).
I’ll conclude with my aforementioned disclaimer. Not for you, but for anyone who happens to grunch this post in the future.
vaccines that went into arms weren’t wasted. that’s a dumb take. one year into vaccine denialism, you would be justified to feel that offering it to still unvaccinated is wasted effort. i would probably say yeah, a couple more months and take the free vaccines away from unconsenting adults, ship extra doses to poor countries. transition to insurance/chip/medicaid to cover vaccines like you did with tests, and move on. would likely still be good to push through mandates for all other vaccines until they tire of striking them down.
I agree with that. I also don’t think that is his position. It sounds like he said that when supplies were limited a vaccine would have done more good if it went into someone who was not previously infected. Especially someone who was not previously infected and had risk factors.
I’ll conclude with my aforementioned disclaimer. Not for you, but for anyone who happens to grunch this post in the future.