COVID-19 (2): Turns out it's going to be pretty bad actually

CO2 is def going up. We have to correct for background CO2 in our offgas calcs. It was 350 30 years ago. 425ish now.

I think sea level is going to be the obvious thing. Hard to deny that your beach house and bay city are always under water. Of course it will be way late to act. Just like our response to CV!

Funny story- at a toll facility and we were seeing Larger random changes in the background CO2. We thought the instrument was bad. Turns out they have big ethanol fermenters on site sometimes the airflow would drift a CO2 spike past the air intake pipe.

I would say mine is a mix. My mom has actually completely turned on Trump over his handling of this. I have basically sent her a nonstop stream of the news and takes from here and it has broken through. I have also been able to point out how all the pro-life idiots don’t care if people die in this and that seems to have hit home for her because my mom is pro-life in about the most legitimate way you can be and is for helping the less fortunate for the most part from conception to death. On the other side of things my dad is still on full blown denial/Trump defender mode. I have actually heard them fighting about it on the phone with them.

The greater population of Trump voters I know I would say break down in to some taking it seriously and the other half posting pro-protester pro-Trump nonsense on the reg still. I assume once we OPEN UP FOR BUSINESS this will slant even more heavily towards the second group. I don’t really see any of them still staying home once their respective governors give the all clear in the next couple weeks but we will see i guess.

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I think it’s important to note that there are basically zero rank and file GOP voters at these open it up rallies. Much like the tea party, despite media implications otherwise, you’re not going to find many dumb old garden variety Fox News watching rubes out there. It’s basically astroturfing.

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New York fatalities continue to decline. Numbers from Cuomo:

Recent daily deaths
April 8: 799
April 9: 777
April 10: 783
April 11: 758
April 12: 671
April 13: 778
April 14: 758
April 15: 606
April 16: 630
April 17: 540

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My wife is slated to go back to work on April 30 from her surgery. She is an ICU nurse with asthma which makes her risk pretty high. Ultimately it is her decision obviously but what would you advise her to do? Quit? Just roll the dice? We can probably financially survive albeit in a crippled fashion with her not working. She will likely always be able to find work after this is over. I really don’t know what to advise her on and we have talked about it extensively and she doesnt know what to do either.

FMLA?

What grounds would you take FMLA on? I am clueless on how FMLA works.

I mean, it could be considered gaming the system, but she could probably find a psychiatrist to say work related anxiety is sufficient. Once a doctor signs the form the employer isn’t legally allowed to ask what the medical issue is, I think. The leave is unpaid though.

Beach houses will be gone, and the weather in places like Russia will be a little more tolerable. Yes, some things will change.

What should be done about climate change is a matter of personal preference, it’s not a looming cataclysmic event. If it was then science types who berate coal miner types would be absolutely flipping their shit at internationalists who want to ship people and goods around the world at a remarkable level. Instead the politics of the scientists and internationalists largely overlap.

Someone on twitter called him America’s Manic Pixie Dream Capitalist, hard to fault as a description.

Edit: @zikzak Is there any way to not have that ugly-ass advertisement for a third-party payment processor glued to my avi?

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Is there an annoying mosquito in here or is it just me?

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That stuff is more @anon46587892’s department. You could try joining another group.

It’s kind of off-brand to have anything but static, but I’ll give it a shot.

I’ve heard variations of the idea before ("a lie will spread half way around the world before the truth can put on its shoes), but Chris Hayes just had a guest on his podcast who noted that it takes 10x the effort to refute bullshit than to produce it.

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This 10x number is BS, let me explain why…

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Governor is straight up refusing do disclose how many dead in nursing homes. It’s between a little and a shitton worse than the numbers say in Florida.

US Mental health hotline sees 891% increase in calls

A national helpline in the US has seen a dramatic increase in people getting in touch.

The Disaster Distress Helpline provides counselling for people who are facing emotional distress.

In March 2020 the helpline answered roughly 7,000 calls and received 19,000 text messages, an increase of 891% on the same period in 2019.

According to the helpline’s website, “stress, anxiety, and other depression-like symptoms are common reactions after a disaster”.

For those in the US, the helpline can be accessed on 1-800-985-5990.

In other news, NASA just announced yesterday that SpaceX will be flying astronauts to space on an American rocket next month for the first time in a decade, at a much lower cost than Boeing’s spacecraft (which doesn’t actually work).

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IHME updated their model once again. While the model is obviously flawed from a predictive standpoint, it is still worth following because it is being used to make policy decisions for some reason.

They are now calculating when it will be safe for each state to relax social distancing.

Julie K Brown from the Miami Herald has an article on Florida reporting. I linked last night I think.