[Bill Maher voice] Mmmmmmtherebubliganzzzz?
A 20% to 10-15% increase day over day still sucks when the numbers get big.
Homemade Philly cheesesteaks.
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Ro and especially the long latent period and mildly and non sick carriers. SARS was like flu in that it put people in bed.
I believe Ro was about 1.5 so with some isolation, seasonality and testing/tracing it died out.
Someone (me?) posted something up thread that had a summary of the more recent agents vs Covid19
Portion control. If I donât cook it we donât eat it.
Follow this guy. He does all the state by region for both deaths and cases. His table is the 5 day average increase. He usually posts 10-11pm eastern
Day to day is so noisy Friday through Tuesday. Tuesday to Friday not so bad.
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SARS R0 was estimated at around 2.75 to 3 but R dropped to 0.4 after interventions. Itâs really the asymptomatic and pre-symptomatic spreading of COVID that make it such a bitch to control.
All of my video calls this week have been with Polo shirt on top, boxer shorts below. Just got to remember never to stand up.
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Bonus! Letâs look on the bright side.
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And apparently post-symptomatic as well.
I live in Philadelphia and theyâre still doing construction to build a pool in my apartment complex. I guess the pool is essentialâŚ
Anyone know why MN showing 500+ deaths today on 1point3acres?
Hmm looks like a data entry error for Hennepin county
There are food deserts within the boundaries of the five boroughs of NYC?
Yikes. I have kids in Hennepin. Thatâs where I lived 2000-2012.
Absolutely. The South Bronx is still abysmal. Here is a recent analysis of the city a quick Google search found
https://medium.com/@olivialimone/mapping-food-deserts-and-swamps-in-manhattan-and-the-bronx-46c6d8fc0804
Just excerpting a bit from that Atlantic article I linked upthread:
Crucial medical drugs are also running out. According to a University of Minnesota analysis, about 40 percent of the 156 drugs that are essential parts of critical care are becoming limited. Many of these depend on supply chains that involve China (where the pandemic began), Italy (the hardest-hit region in Europe), or India (which halted several exports). These chains have been discharging their contents like a sputtering garden hose that has now begun to run dry. âThe medium term is going to be particularly perilous,â said Nada Sanders, a professor of supply-chain management at Northeastern University. âGlobal demand is so high, and supply is so far behind, that itâs very hard to envision enough of a ramp-up.â
Albuterol, the drug used in asthma inhalers, is scarce. Antibiotics, which control the secondary bacterial infections that afflict COVID-19 patients, are being depleted. Basic painkillers and sedatives, which are needed to keep patients on ventilators, are being exhausted. Hydroxychloroquine, the drug that Trump has repeatedly touted as a COVID-19 treatment despite a lack of good evidence, is running out, to the detriment of people with lupus and arthritis who depend on it. âItâs like everything we give to patients, weâre in short supply of,â said Esther Choo, an emergency physician at Oregon Health and Science University. âWeâre now scrambling to find the backup medications, and weâll run out of those too.â
What happens if China starts to hoard these drugs? It feels like thereâs potential for some serious international tension down the track a bit. The good news is that Iâm sure the US federal government is well on top of this and gaming these scenarios out as we speak. If there are diplomatic issues with China I would imagine Jared Kushner himself would be put on the case.
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Itâs a food desert if you canât afford anything other than a shitty burger at McDonaldâs.
Details on location of death for NYC. There are an additional 8,184 deaths in NYC that they describe as not known to be confirmed or probable COVID deaths, but they may end up reclassifying some of those.
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https://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJMoa2006100
Iceland testing results summary:
- Tested 6% of population
- Targeted testing: 9,199 people, 13.3% positive
- Open-invitation testing: 10,797 people, 0.8% positive
- Random testing: 2,283 people, 0.6% positive
- In open-invitation and random testing, zero children under 10 tested positive.
Yikes.