Coronavirus (COVID-19)

Welp, just heard the cashier talking to the customer in front of me about how all the guns and ammo were sold out at a gigantic sporting good store. That’s pretty reassuring that crazy people have even more weapons and ammo.

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Not checking in and reading every post here today was definitely beneficial for mental health. I highly recommend taking a break here and there. We are lucky to have two great, pretty sparsely populated parks right nearby in our area of NYC. That’s been a godsend too.

Supermarkets have remained well stocked but it will be interesting to see what happens now that millions of kids need to be fed more meals at home (NYC closed schools for 1 month). It’s hard to hoard in a small apartment, and food goes quickly eating all meals at home.

GermanGuy, so sorry for what you are going through.

https://twitter.com/seanludwig/status/1233723708411346945

Italy 2 weeks ago. Eh but then again they shut Rome down before it went completely crazy there right?

I had an older brother who had AIDS back in the late 80s and near the end my parents had home Hospice Care and the nurses were absolutely amazing.

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That’s terrible. I hope you and your family get the best outcome possible.

I mean, I’m not sure that guy disproved that it’s a good strategy. He’s saying you don’t go for herd immunity now because that’ll take care of itself. Well, sure, but .2% of a big number is less than 1% or 3% of a big number, and the hospitals are less likely to be overrun if young people are the first ones to get it - fewer should need ICU’s.

So you restrict it to like < 50 at first. Once ~70% of them have it, you make it < 65 years of age, once 70% of the new group has it you expand again. Each time, the transmission should happen more slowly and the curve should be flatter… Plus you buy time to scale up respirators and ICU beds before the groups that will need them the most get infected.

It also protects the economy and the supply chain somewhat.

Basically it’s a method of flattening the curve and slowing transmission without going to a full lockdown, it creates a series of smaller waves instead of one big one, and if executed properly it could ensure hospital beds are available throughout.

If you didn’t want to do it for age, you could say everyone born Jan-Mar locks down for 3 weeks starting now. Everyone born Apr-Jun locks down for 3 weeks next. Everyone born Jul-Sept locks down 3 weeks after that, etc…

This doesn’t flatten the slope of the curve, but it lowers the peak and may keep it below capacity… while again keeping the economy and society working a bit more, which makes the lockdown more bearable (hopefully increasing cooperation) - it’ll be easier for people to get deliveries and all.

Obviously you maintain significant social distancing.

I’m not saying it’s the best method, I don’t know enough to know. I find the concept interest, though, and it’d be interesting to see modeling or studies on it. Too late now to do that here - we should be on a full lockdown already.

Hardly any lines at Whole Foods, but they are out of a lot of stuff. I was trying to get some bread and they don’t have any.

Buddy of mine posting on his TP throne from Mexico.

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Alberta just closed all schools and daycares. We have 56 cases so far.

Illinois (Chicago) prohibiting customers from entering restaurants. Delivery and curbside takeout only. Some of the St. Patrick’s Day tweets from yesterday were from Chicago.

The only thing left to shut down to qualify as a lockdown is offices.

Do they have price gouging laws in Mexico? It’s an opportunity.

Congrats you win for most WAAF post. :grinning:

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I think I have given up on keeping up with this thread. I’m 1600 posts behind and I read it everyday. Anyway Aldi was wiped out of all canned foods, cheese, flour, sugar, ll milk, noodles, ramen, tp, pasta, and everything else was pretty lean pickings. Luckily I like stuff that other people apparently don’t so got myself some beetroot and asparagus.

I feel like the schools will close down soon. The premier has stated as much. I think I’m going to cancel my trip to NSW but I’m still not 100% sure because I really want to see my brother. Idk what’s best really. I’m definitely leaning towards cancelling the flight.

Vons

No bread, no flour.

A rotisserie chicken or a freshly made pizza? No problem. Bread? Nope.

The CVS had 3 loaves of bread left. I’m not a hoarder so I only took two.

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Oh yeah I put in another 2 beds of vegies in and bought some more seeds incase things get even crazier. If I have to live on radishes so be it. No reprimands from 6ix will be necessary for me!

Wynn Las Vegas shutting down for two weeks beginning Tuesday.

CDC just recommended no gatherings of 50+ people for the next 8 weeks.

We need an immediate UBI to help people get through these 2 months. $200 per week for everyone 18+ and $100 per week for those under 18 costs the US roughly $50 Billion per week. It’s a starting point.

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In chemistry the outcome of a reaction is always dependent on the limiting reagent or bottleneck. I believe that it doesn’t matter if there are 10k or 1m test kits. They are just the cake mix, and the problem is that there are too few ovens. Of course Trump and his flunkies either don’t know this or are simply going with their standard literally-true-but-completely-misleading bullshit.

Yeah. Shelves empty of toilet paper and having to eat pizza and not get bread if that’s what you want makes people nervous, but not crazy. I don’t see why food production is fundamentally disrupted. But then these complex systems are pretty difficult to predict and sometimes shortages might be very hard to explain rationally.

Does government even have the data necessary to do this? How can we give everyone money when we can’t register everyone to vote?