There’s plenty of media-magnified nonsense about Trump too, remember like a year or so into his term when supposed experts were posting long convincing Twitter threads highlighting the way he walked and his issues with stairs, and talking about how they were all indicators of a certain type of dementia and other disorders that were going to leave him drooling in a hospital bed by the end of his term? People ate it up on here. Meanwhile, six years later, the fucking asshole is still golfing 18 holes every other day when he’s not in court.
I’m excited by the potential idea of him falling apart in the next 11 months, but I’ll believe it when I see it.
or how when he leans forward to talk into microphones it means some degenerative brain disease. he just doesn’t want to get his dick close to all that electronic equipment. he wants to avoid dick cancer. that’s actually really smart.
I think it depends a bit on who ultimately runs and whether they get on the ballot everywhere or just in certain states. For example, Larry Hogan might have a slightly different voter profile than Joe Mancin.
Regardless of who the actual candidate is, a third party probably hurts Biden more than Trump. Even if they try to hit both Trump and Biden, a third party run is fundamentally making a case that the system is broken and needs to be shaken up. If people buy into that basic message, I think that hurts Biden more than Trump (who is still seen as an outsider and a potential change agent). Also, the No Labels candidate provides an alternative path for people who hate Trump (and would never vote for him) but not actively enthused by Biden (and I think there are more of those voters than people who are lukewarm towards Trump but feel compelled to vote for him solely because they hate Biden)
Quite a bit of what he’s done falls in that “a lot better than nothing” range IMO. Problem is none of it is really interesting or sexy to voters, and Democrats are doing a terrible job of playing up any accomplishments anyway.
Most of the data is from 2020 but changes in favorability are relatively small over the term of an administration compared to when the party in power changes.
Yes you will get a letter next week that confirms that you would have been excused for the last 10k or 20k or whatever.
But thanks for playing!
My wife has two graduate degrees. We are on pace for spring 2025. If we weren’t earning more in interest then she is paying on the last tranche we would have accelerated more.