ngl it’s gonna be hard not to put most of my robinhood portfolio on kamala at 38 cents or whatever it is…
its only available for approved users i believe, do you see it in the app?
i didn’t until today, but yes. just took me back to a page with all of my info from before, confirmed that, they asked if i was involved in either campaign, election, etc. bought kamala with what i had in cash within 2 mins of seeing it show up a little while ago…
I’m tempted to just max out all my credit cards on Kamala bets and then just leave for good once Trump wins.
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it’s right below your graph, literally can’t miss it lol.
click on it, takes you to here
so easy, might not be good for me haha. who needs VOO or SPY when you got KAM!
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i have a robinhood acct but havent logged in in 5 years or so.
so no limits or anything? just unlimited free money? what are the fees like?
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looks like a 3 cents spread and a 1c fee on every contract…
edit: now it’s showing a 1c spread. it’s the wild f’ing west!
biggest bet i ever won was on obama in ‘08, just kept adding and adding on bovada over months.
i’m pretty much convinced it isn’t gonna be close. so i’m torn between being annoyed robinhood didn’t have this long enough for me to keep feeding money into it, and realizing it’s probably a good thing.
as it stands, i can’t imagine not selling most or all of everything i have on there monday night/tuesday morning and putting it all on her. hopefully i just do that and don’t deposit more haha. what’s already on there is fun money/short-term savings for nothing in particular. i think i could fade trump getting elected AND losing that money and not jump off my roof 
2.5x return in a couple nights, or however long it takes her to get to 98 cents or whatever… gonna be real hard to resist. i guess it closes jan 5th and $1/contract payout is jan 8th
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thinking about it, i sure hope this gets out to all the predictit weirdos…
i’m picturing waking up wednesday morning, cbs/nbc have already called kamala the winner, and she’s trading at 65 cents or something ridiculous
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I think Betting Kamala to win pop at 60% right now is as about as good it can get - assuming Trump doesn’t actually pull it off.
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I am 0% to bet the election outcome deadball, because historically the market for this has been far more irrational in-play. Last time Biden went to a 4 to 1 underdog or something insane like that. That was a bit of a special case because of how the counting of mail ballots worked, but something we might get a repeat of is an overreaction to results in Florida. Last time the closing RCP average there was Biden +0.9 and Trump ended up winning by 3.3 points, the early returns in the traditional D stronghold of Miami-Dade were especially apocalyptic, that set the tone for a feeling of doom around Biden even as more equivocal results in the Midwest rolled in later.
It is now abundantly clear Trump is going to curbstomp Kamala in that hellhole state, probably even winning Miami-Dade. Florida is one of the first states to close polls and generally gets results out pretty fast, so chances are good we see the market move further in Trump’s favor as the extent of his victory there becomes clear.
On the other hand, if the early returns out of like Virginia and Georgia look good for Kamala, do you really think Trump supporters are going to flee for the exits? Fuck no they are not, they cling to their positions a little more closely than that. And just generally, we will be reading analysis from people who know what they’re talking about (I am curating a list on Twitter for this purpose) while others are trying to divine the course of events from cable news and Dan Bongino tweets. My knowledge advantage is going to be way bigger then than it is right now.
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Kamala down to -185 on bovada for popular vote with big limits if you dont want to mess around with crypto
Is this robinhood? Where do i find the politics bets?
Eta saw the earlier posts. It is not right under my graph
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Can you share that list?
Kamala popular vote seems like the bet of a lifetime to me. Hard to see her losing that no matter what. Getting barely less than 1:1 on that is insane.
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https://twitter.com/i/lists/1848711830207963433
Doesn’t have a ton of people on it atm, hopefully build it out a bit more before Election Day. If you have any suggestions, I can add them.
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i had been checking since i read about it last week. just popped up early this afternoon.
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I checked the odds where I occasionally place sports bets, and the “losing candidate must concede” thing made me lol.
Looks like they closed the market at 8pm and it reopens at 8am. If thats the case every day, definitely will be interesting to see what it closes at on election night at 8pm.
yeah, happy to follow you, you’re the fucking man 
i hadn’t gotten to thinking about getting better prices as voting closes next tuesday, (it was more, “zomg they’re selling dollars for 40 cents!!”) that’s now my plan.
bc you’re right, even if exit polling favors her, none of those trump bettors are folding their hand tuesday night. and it’s more likely to look like it did 4 years ago when those dollars are selling for 20 cents at 8pm…