Betting on Politics: Predictit is NOT Dead

I was a big fan of The Daily Show back in the day, but in hindsight Stewart’s brand of West Wing-adjacent politics was not what this country needed. How many times did he give a platform to Mike Huckabee and John McCain?

He ripped apart Crossfire and then basically did Crossfire.

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Yeah that’s actually probably a great description.

steward went on Axelrod’s podcast a couple of years ago and axelrod basically drug him on this exact point, though less succinctly

decided to chicken out and bailing out of Gaetz stuff

oh I don’t think he’s resigning in the end but I ain’t wanting to hold it with that mess and could easily be more on that front before mar 1. Also he doesn’t actually have any friends on capitol hill other than butthead, that matters.

He’s been hit with that criticism a number of times and his defense of “well I was doing a comedy show and not a news show” rings somewhat hollow.

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put more down on trump not getting indicted on the news

the NY AG pisses me off all that evidence? HE BRAGGED ABOUT THAT YOU IDIOTS could’ve saved you all that time and money on the investigation

lol, a lot of very angry PI players may be about to discover the difference between a civil and a criminal suit.

Cant believe I got in at .19, easiest market ever.

It’s too bad it took so long for PI to make a Trump indictment market, I bet if we had one of these markets a year ago the PredictIt traders would have been regularly pumping yes to over 50 cents.

I’m all-in on the Trump indictment market, which may mean you’re all fucked. I’m fucking lethal on election bets, and probably down money on all my other PredictIt bets. (Way up overall because 95% of my bets are election bets.)

The Trump indictment market is like the mirror of the Hillary indictments markets, except there were a dozen or so versions of the Hillarygate markets to bet on. Now it’s #Resistance Dems lighting money on fire instead of Qanon chuds.

I think I made some money on the Hillary indictment markets, so maybe it’s election and indictment markets :+1:, legislative markets :-1:.

Has anyone with a PI indictment market ever actually been indicted?

Flynn?

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thought there was one that hit but couldn’t think of who

he definitely hit something might’ve been just conviction tho

Yeah, I’m not 100% sure Flynn had indicted market as well as convicted.

Biden impeached market up, think link preview is messed up.

https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7485/Will-Joe-Biden-be-impeached-by-June-30,-2023

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Good.

22 cents yes by June of 2023 doesn’t seem outlandish given the likelihood that an R house impeaches him for the crime of being a democrat in the first degree.

22c sounds undervalued to be honest.

If the GOP gets +40 House seats, I don’t see how this doesn’t happen.

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