don’t think he’s resigning but the sharks do see blood in the water so ?
think this is one of those things that when impeachment is announced buy yes, they’ll take forever to get there so your bet is essentially him not resigning.
Spoiler: It’s not a bet on her running for re-election; it’s effectively a bet on whether a new congressional map will end up with her in the 14th again.
Looks like the “Senate Votes for Infrastructure” market will indeed resolve at “59 or less.” Good looks @Chuckleslovakian, I think you made several people here a chunk of money by pointing it out early.
I was reading the comments occasionally and it was crazy how blatantly people were trying to pump. Somehow they managed to pump B1 No from ~5c to like ~25c at one point yesterday.
Edit: is it possible that predictiters think this means the number of votes that are cast, and not the number of “yes” votes that are cast? No one can be that dumb, probably.