Betting on Politics: Predictit is NOT Dead

easy on, not so easy off it’s USDC and at least was a bit convoluted to get it off

they like to throw in sports so it’s not so great in terms of hey the feds might shut this down at some point thing

There’s also kalshi that’s up now, but fees were high last I looked at it and not great volume.

don’t think he’s resigning but the sharks do see blood in the water so ?

think this is one of those things that when impeachment is announced buy yes, they’ll take forever to get there so your bet is essentially him not resigning.

Can you bet on the Dems making him the Presidential nom next time? That’s more in line with how these things usually play out for white dudes.

For those (like me) looking for easy money, don’t be a moron (like I almost was) and view this as free money:

Spoiler: It’s not a bet on her running for re-election; it’s effectively a bet on whether a new congressional map will end up with her in the 14th again.

Got just over 1000 units of no at 36c. Wish I had maxed out.

https://twitter.com/mkraju/status/1422660552015454208
guess this is why you’re on no?

I’ve been leaning yes, depends how stubborn he is but now that biden weighed in ugh

Got in on no when the story broke.

Was going to sell later today for a quick profit, but now that Biden, Pelosi and both NY senators have all called for resignation, I’m holding.

“no” still seems underpriced at 70c so I bought some too

He has the “have no shame” cheat code, so 70c seems about right to me.

Looks like the “Senate Votes for Infrastructure” market will indeed resolve at “59 or less.” Good looks @Chuckleslovakian, I think you made several people here a chunk of money by pointing it out early.

I was reading the comments occasionally and it was crazy how blatantly people were trying to pump. Somehow they managed to pump B1 No from ~5c to like ~25c at one point yesterday.

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Cheers. I couldn’t believe the line when I saw it. Only wish I had hammered it even sooner, but very happy with the win.

Did we count our chickens too soon? 99c down to 60s now

Edit: 50s, wtf

This is quite a sweat!

What the hell is going on with this market?

In at 73cents.

59 or fewer into the 40s?

lol me

Edit: is it possible that predictiters think this means the number of votes that are cast, and not the number of “yes” votes that are cast? No one can be that dumb, probably.

Man I find it so hard to believe GOP will let this go through this easily. Just bought $100 more at 47c. Fuck it.

There were people betting on Trump after the election was decided.

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Climbing back up. This is wild, it’s into the 70s now.