Betting on Politics: Predictit is NOT Dead

Any reason not to unload on 55 or 56 Senators to convict +180?

it’s a good price considering elsewhere is like even atm but I don’t expect cassidy to vote for conviction so you’re trusting some republicans to uh, vote yes in the end

it’s 250 max on bovada so if you wanna empty the clip go for it whatever for you

https://twitter.com/PolymarktWhales/status/1359627090375675906

https://twitter.com/PolymarktWhales/status/1359636059848658946

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Does this bookmaker offer odds on Trump to not be president then, or is this just literally free money for the bookmaker?

you can bet no on the prop

At what odds? Lol, I guess you’re just betting on the site not stealing your money.

more risk of getting shut down than that imo

odds are roughly the opposite of what got posted

Yeah they started doing sports ‘predicting’ on polymarket now, pretty sure that greedy decision will be their end

Guys guys guys, it’s on the blockchain, it can’t be shut down.

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Wish there was a PI website that shows how many shares are available in these markets that are like NA/99. I was able to scoop up Barr shares because that market was really thin. Yeah it’s a 99c dollar but i still have cash floating until all the Mar 1 markets clear so might as well get the bond.

? you can see that info on PI

Yeah but i have to click through every single contract to see it. I was wanting like a table with literally every position on the site, that i can sort by # of shares for 99c, 98c, etc

lmao barr shares are back indeed a few hundred 99’s out there

I see what you’re saying now. your best shot is to put in orders at 99 NO on several trump cabinets and hope someone sells theirs to buy other stuff or another fucking idiot trumper comes along if that’s what you’re going for
Defense/DNI is still 99, Munchin doesn’t have a 99 order so that might get filled if you only need a few

or whatever 98/99 yes that are just death markets at this point

I have saturday at 3 cents for the trial vote

for 10 bucks facepalm I knew they wouldn’t want to give up their recess week.

Feel like over the last week I missed out on like 10k because I’m a weak nit.

edit–like everyone else I don’t know how the leaderboard on PI works (everyone can read what it says, but nobody knows how they get there) but I’m finally on it now for oracles, 87th Yeah, take that fellow nerds on this site way too much.

As someone who just has been mostly buying NO’s in the .05 to .12c range (which has been free money so far) I’m curious how you could be missing out on like 10k? With $850 markets, how can you be putting so much money down to be able to theoretically profit 10k in a week? I feel like I’m missing something…

I didn’t max a bunch of cabinet no’s when they were like 10 cents when I thought they probably weren’t gonna get there in time and I like everyone else blew the VA vote market when it was staring us in the face that like 7 senators weren’t there.

We went from trumpster easy money to the people that won the easy money still being around easy money. Not gonna last much longer after this, they will have markets but they won’t be as good and some people learned a valuable lesson and will get out.

ie, next good stuff won’t be till 22. or maybe yang, idk yet

Yeah I’m probably going to make an extra $1000 off these MAGA cabinet markets once they resolve barring some sort of black swan level event, or me degening on more of these # of vote contracts (which i’m down close to a max on, lolme)

Not a bad return for 2 months.

Just waiting on all of things like this to be graded:

March 1 though once all the stuff in clears I’m probably withdrawing almost everything. I’m still trying to decide how much to leave on, maybe somewhere on the order of 3 max bets (~1500)

Yea, I’ll make like $700 or 800 on the cabinets. I got Pompeo NO for like .12 lol. Gonna look back fondly on these markets!

they’re still gonna be great on march 1st when someone gets confirmed but resolves as a NO because of the rules

February 13 Yes 350 3¢ $10.50

:( :( :(

I was dead right they wanted their recess but no I only bet 10.