lol briefly hit 4 R’s and everyone mass panicked, some people made serious bank timing wise there
and then it hit again LOL
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OUCH i just got burned bad trying to swing trade that at the end. Woof
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you gotta be careful, I bailed out in one bracket in time
I had ten feeds up picked the fastest one and was still easily behind the comments
Yeah I lost all the winnings I had made swing trading before and then some, I thought I could just ride a swing up but it double swong’d. Those markets are complete chaos at the end
I sold out of the winning bracket at 98 NO a few minutes ago but couldn’t get back in till it moved hard that’s how fast these go
punted over 50 on B3, but will end up profit yay I guess, thought it was a good bad bet at all considering 2 dems weren’t there and we only knew for sure of 1 R. lol B4 hit over 90 at one point and got BTFO’d
winning bracket was 1c an hour ago
yeah it’s chaos, you have a bunch of sharks, people with the fastest feed, and some people who just look at the score on the screen and presume that will hold up and buy that or whatever bias, the latter get BTFO’d most of the time. I still don’t have the fastest feed so I’m just picking up scraps most of the time.
The hardest part is during the chaos, it lags so you’re not seeing real time prices
What’s funny is I woulda made money if I just held my B3 and B4 no’s but i ended up panic selling them right after I got them both for losses, complete amateur hour. needed the DIAMOND HANDS
I had yes’s pn both of those, no’s on a lot of shit and managed something small in the green.
some of the bigger traders hit 5 figs and I don’t know how or what they’re doing, guess I gotta try to find out.
a big lesson learned to not take 95+ NO’s on middling brackets going in though, you can bail out of it in time but you can’t take the other side of the trade in time and that’s where the big gains are.
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https://twitter.com/SenateCloakroom/status/1357639709133053952
VA Sec market appears to be free money now, pending the Monday vote.
Some of the regs pumped no’s in the cabinet markets hard and succeeded with it. Dunno if they’re bailing here or hoping for trial panic and then flipping to the other way.
yes the timeline is very crunched, but guessing the order done by feb is gonna be near impossible, a bunch will have confirmation hearings all done by the end of next week
Like Tai/Haaland are very difficult to fathom at this stage but it sucks hopping on board an already pumped hard market.
The “When will the Senate vote on whether to convict Donald Trump?” on Predictit has No on the 15th at 96c which is almost certainly free money, and can be combined with other No buys for rebate/compounding. The 15th is President’s Day which is on the tentative schedule of non-legislative days. U.S. Senate: Tentative 2021 Legislative Schedule
This feels like either really ridic free money or the most brain dead thing I’ve done.
also the 14th is a sunday
like what in the world
that week senate is in recess, but I believe they’ll cancel that, but I suppose it is unlikely they would bother till the 16th but dunno trial rules and all that jazz.
… why wouldn’t they be in session during presidents day if they gotta be there six days a week
Senate rules stipulate that once the impeachment resolution is sent, the Senate will convene each afternoon with the exception of Sundays to complete the trial
lol if it’s not wrapped up by the 15th, well idk what the hell happens
trump to not be president on march 31st is now 93 NO on polymarket
people are buying 7 cents on the dollar trump will be president
guess I gotta try and take some of it sigh
I also missed it, sabbath apparently is saturday and that’s the day they’re taking off, sunday, presidents day will be trial days
I wouldn’t take monday no in case they just wanna bail for recess.
also despite not asking for it, I got the other PI hat today. A different company oddly enough but still a decent hat. One I won’t wear ever but still
need more polymarketwhales posts of people buying Yes on donald trump to be president on March 1st or whatever.
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the VA vote ended at like 10 cents for the winning market with 30 seconds before the gavel hit and like 40cents when it got announced for a little while. because like 8 people ended up not voting
and I still got beat to all that money cause the site lags when everyone’s rushing. I hate regs on that site so much. Not because of taking all teh fish money but the needless pumping bullshit in the comments section and all that. Unreal pieces of shit.
hasn’t been one in a few days
some people put in solid bets on tesla buying btc right before that got announced. Must be nice to know things in advance.
Can someone give some cliffs on their polymarket user experience?
How secure? Rake structure? How easy to get money on and off?
Merrick Garland NO ended up one of my bigger hits on PI for an individual market but only gonna make like 2k cause I didn’t max when I had the chance to really make bank, sigh. lol I could’ve still finished it earlier today for another 500 but nope
still good to see a giant green arrow today he’s currently scheduled to miss the deadline is why it shot down
Haaland is roughly 0 at this point, I have no idea how they’d put her ahead of so many others.
I haven’t withdrawn yet so dunno. Could get shut down at any point, it’s definitely not running with any legality like PI actually is.
Will Cocaine Mitch vote to convict Trump? is some of the freeest money I’ve seen in months.