Betting on Politics: Predictit is NOT Dead

I still can’t believe this lmao

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damn all that money went straight to the no trump cabinet, still DNI is 98 tho

Anything out there that’s free money under 0.99?

other than what I just posted at 98

it’s whether you don’t think certain cabinet members will will die before march 1st, can get 96/7 for that.

the Pete individual cabinet market should be done in a day or two at 99, that’s the best value.

other stuff takes too long I think to fire now

also my predictit hat came in

THEY SENT THE WRONG HAT (it’s not the same as the order form they sent with it)

amazingly, they didn’t skimp here, it’s a 9forty new era hat

if anyone truly wanted the black predictit hat, well here’s your opportunity to acquire mine

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McDonough for VA at 91, Mayorakas at 96 for DHS, Raimondo at 93c for Commerce, what’s up with these? The first two have scheduled votes. These all seem free to me but i may be missing something

R’s are heavily against Mayorkas, he’ll pass today or tomorrow but they’re pricing 1% he gets derailed somehow. Remember already confirmed are at 97. I think he was talking literal free, not free aside from military coups or deaths or random resignations.

I’ve been on the no side on Raimondo all along in time and it looks like that one I’ll eat a loss, but I wish I just maxed all NO’s when I thought no was the right play, would’ve gotten at least 5k I think. sad VA has a scheduled vote? I’ve missed that one with being distracted elsewhere. (NO’s might be slightly overvalued now, we’ll see though, some of them aren’t gonna hit it looks like but some will, really depends on trial length)

I’m gonna HODL on NO atm on gina. Something can go awry or delayed or whatever the heck.

I don’t think VA has a vote scheduled yet? Isn’t it still in committee? Maybe a committee vote scheduled?

There’s something for Tuesday for VA, but it’s a committee vote.

https://www.senate.gov/committees/hearings_meetings.htm

that’s what I thought, that is a step, but it’s not a big one. The key is senate confirmation votes.

https://twitter.com/PolymarktWhales/status/1356646085679276046
https://twitter.com/PolymarktWhales/status/1356433866278531072

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Come on now… Who the fuck is still throwing money at this shit? eleven fucking thousand dollars!?! Why wouldn’t you just buy 11,000 lottery tickets?

that’s gambling man

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Don’t judge me.

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I’m mostly holding No’s at this point (other than a few free money Yes’s for people already confirmed). Seems R’s are going to try to slow things down as much as possible, and with impeachment starting, I think we’re going to see a big of a logjam.

No’s have gone up in value a decent bit recently, but still think they are slightly undervalued.

when you miss the pete votes and your yes pile is on 83-85 and nothing on 86-88 and it’s 86.

welp

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Same thing happened to me. Just got my hat and it’s the black predictit one. Ordered the navy one with the P logo. Don’t think I’ll ever wear this one, so if wheatrich’s hat has already been claimed and someone else wants mine, I’m happy to pass on.

glancing at twitter, everyone got the black hat, if you complain you can get the other hat

I don’t think I’m gonna bother though, almost didn’t get the hat in the first place.

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Don’t know why I didn’t empty the clip on mostly party line vote for greene. Might still be B3 but lol me. Both possibilities combined were like 30cents.

I had a big buy in at B3 yesterday at 8c but I pulled it because I was a loser in the impeachment market and i got shook. Missed out on a decent payday for sure cuz I would have flipped it. I made a few pennies trading swings yesterday though with just buying ‘No’ in most brackets