Betting on Politics: Predictit is NOT Dead

bunch of markets should get resolved overnight so cabinet markets gonna get hammered tomorrow

where’s the damn pardon list ffs

https://twitter.com/harrylitman/status/1351615325322657793

am I gonna lose the trump self pardon money because of being unwilling to list the crimes he did?

rough last two days for me, damn

2 Likes

Romney to vote to convict by 4/29 at 89 cents seems like the freest of free money in the history of free money. What am I missing? PredictIt

1 Like

was 91

he may not in the end because i don’t know lol

key is to look at what they’re saying after biden’s in rather than pretending they’re taking it seriously now

It’s about the same as 50 or fewer votes at 90 cents - I don’t see a world where Romney votes yes and you don’t get at least 51 votes.

I think part of the 10% is the uncertainty as to when the trial will start/end.

Yea, customer service on these books is pretty brutal. The first and second line of customer service at BOL would keep putting me on hold, and then always eventually tell me that there was nothing they could do to help me. I did start yelling at one of the ‘managers’ at some point. They’re useless.

It took about 4 or 5 days for someone higher up at BetOnline to call me after filing my claim at SBR. I also started a thread on what happened to me that got 200 posts and stayed up on the front page for a few days, which may have helped. So I did get paid in the end, but still, Fuck BetOnline.

2 Likes

How did this contract resolve?

it won’t until they’re sworn in tomorrow

but I got BTFO’d, I thought they’d certify the 20th and they did the 19th

my own fault, I thought about bailing cause I really wasn’t sure and just ate it Just read too many articles saying 20th or going to wait till the end or stuff like that and nope they did it as fast as they could. 20th made more sense to me, would’ve gotten vastly overshadowed in the news seeing some people may be hunting for them atm.

I thought contract ended at midnight (i.e. in under an hour).

like me yesterday you are 24 hours off

which means it’ll resolve after everyone’s sworn in tomorrow as planned, D/D yes which is 97 or 8 now

That’s the problem with these 12:00 AM settlements. Just make it 12:01 or 11:59 to avoid ambiguity.

well it says 21st and tomorrow is the 20th

Seriously. Whenever I set an online due date I use 11:59 PM.

Ah, my mistake. I thought today was the 20th for some inexplicable reason.

nearly every market is, blame a new intern

https://twitter.com/PolymarktWhales/status/1351750244027957249

https://twitter.com/PolymarktWhales/status/1351750056710451205

https://twitter.com/PolymarktWhales/status/1351749629172453377

5 Likes

reminds me of the tons of pennies on that site in a bunch of markets but I’m just not willing to put much of a roll there. Too high a chance it gets KO’d by the feds if they ever find out about it especially with adding some sports. Probably still too low profile for now but you never know.

Trump isn’t gonna be at the inaug, that’s 4 cents. He isn’t going to be elected that’s 3 cents, biden tomorrow is 6c or something, trump being president in march is only 8 cents though sad dems senate is plus another 4 cents etc etc etc

happy predictit closes a bunch of markets and you got paid day

1 Like

https://twitter.com/parlertakes/status/1351949489976668160

3 Likes

RIP Predictit

1 Like