I dropped $50 on NO, should be a fun sweat.
haha what? Seems like Kamala should be higher than Biden. 3:1 for Harris sounds nice to me.
k, I’m just gonna stick to free money from now on I’m an idiot
The biggest 100% free money I can find is currently No on Trump to beat polls by 8%. You can buy no at 95 cents. Issue is that who knows when Predictit will finally decide to close this market - some are speculating it might not close till December of this year when FEC puts out its final report on vote count.
Hilary and AOC at 5 cents each is free money. Feel Biden at 35 cents is the best bet. Assuming he doesn’t die, I don’t see him stepping down.
Bernie, Hillary No’s gotta be free money there.
Lol, no way is that free money.
Hillary at .05 is a buy, surely the Qanon guys will pump that before long. No idea what AOC is doing in this market.
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Hillary YES seems like free money to me due to the crazy pumps, if you can get in cheap enough
I gave you a heart for the Hillary yes buy, but IMO AOC should be in the market. Other betting sites have her as the #3 most likely dem nom behind Kamala and Biden. Who else would it be? The others are all too old… right? Pete or Michelle Obama maybe?
Bernie at 83 with a heart attack? Come on. It’ll probably get pumped at some point so I won’t get in anytime soon but I got those odds at roughly zero.
Not sure if this helps anyone, but GA just certified the Senate races.
yeah they’re getting sworn in tomorrow barring a coup
bought some AOC, just because if that doesn’t get pumped at some point but GME did, I give up
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you can get 92-93 still in a few cabinet members who will be confirmed by the end of the week or early next at the latest but I’m already in those
I didn’t think I’d run out of $ on PI to play with but until senate releases I’m mostly tapped out, mostly waiting to see if GUILIANI is on the pardon list to put the rest on NO.
gonna lol so hard if trumpers still keep their cabinet at 98 NO or so after tomorrow
Going from 2-term rep to POTUS would be bananas. She doesn’t have the backing or infrastructure for a move like that.
lincoln only had one house term and lost a senate race but he had legendary debates
aoc has enough name rec thanks to R’s but I’d like to think she’s not narcisstic enough to run against biden, running against the incumbent usually ends up being a disaster for the general for everybody. Harris? would be a fight but probably a lose/lose one too.
Fights usually are only good if they’re the opposing party.
obama didn’t finish his only us senate term and was never in the us house
when the iron is hot you gotta strike, her problem is that a lot of her base still might not be voting age and is also a very unreliable turnout voting block.
Yeah - I’ve got some of those, but issue is they don’t settle till March 1 for the most part. I guess once confirmed they should jump to 98-99 cents and I can take profit then.
Any in particular you think are surest to get confirmed?
right, that’s the strat, posted them in this thread a fair bit
Yellen/Blinken/Mayorkas are tier 1 literal locks in less than a week Haines soon Garland will be quickly in the next batch in tier 2
Austin needs the waiver, I believe he’ll get it but he’s the riskiest of tier 1.
also yes on Pete, Vilsack atm (vilsack riskiest, he’ll fly through easily but I may bail if there’s no confirmation hearing somewhat soon)
I have some NO’s but that’s gambling they’ll miss deadline. Congress seems a lot warmer on getting Tai through by the deadline than I would be though.
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