Betting on Politics: Predictit is NOT Dead

I just bought 1500 shares of McConnell to convict at 40c. I thought he would only convict if he had the votes to get it through, but I now think he will no matter what. His wife quit the administration, he’s just been reelected for 6 years. He’s also come out twice hinting he will. Looking forward to getting laughed at as he votes hell no😂

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I’m waiting for what he says now that trump isn’t president before deciding but some agree with you

https://twitter.com/haralabob/status/1351980523376300033

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judge just ruled 1000 more votes to be counted in NY-22 that neither party wanted so who knows who that favors I’ll guess R

so bet the other way based on my guessing track record in here

Thread needs less posters helping each other make money and more MAGA tearsssssssss

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Is MAGA totally gone? Where would their next market be? Even the Trump self-pardon seems fairly priced at 3c for yes

there’s will trump be president in march on polymarket but it’s just 4 cents, the disbelief is mostly gone now

sad!

also I’m not really finding too many people admitting they lost money failing to believe in reality on social media atm, also sad!

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I was able to move my winnings yesterday into the Senator approval 20-21 today, and now those just resolved. Expert free money shuffle! I guess i’ll fill up in the Romeny to convict market. I’m already max no in <53 senators to convict

They are busy trying to find a way to get their money back because Trump is Shadow President and Biden is his puppet.

The “free money” is such a far cry from the days of 0.20 indictments markets. I think the money has been almost totally sucked out of Qanon.

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No. He ordered a review of the 1,000 affidavit ballots to see if any of them fall into the category of people who sent their registrations in on time but the registrations weeren’t processed in time by the county board due to administrative fuckup. If so then, and only then, will they be counted. It is important to note that these are people who registered late and voted in person, in a county where the in-person vote was carried overwhelmingly by the republican. These votes are going to help the R, not the D, and the R is already in the lead by 29 votes. This race is over.

Yeah, at this point I’m just looking for 98c or 99c plays until the cabinet markets all close, which is when i’ll do my big cashout.

(Other than the Romney market, which seems pretty free)

this is what I thought too but PI comment trolls are saying at least some of that was over the internet. which may not skew R

https://twitter.com/mrjamesob/status/1346929951501520897

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https://twitter.com/John_Di_Lemme/status/1350964311607357440

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https://twitter.com/danslacesso/status/1351962462963302401

sucks this is clearly fake but I’m gonna post it anyway and pretend otherwise

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https://twitter.com/PolymarktWhales/status/1351839875058839557
https://twitter.com/PolymarktWhales/status/1351844945997537282
https://twitter.com/PolymarktWhales/status/1351778725210300422
https://twitter.com/PolymarktWhales/status/1351778628917485569

all within the last 15 hours

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I mean, that’s probably fake. But then I thought the video of the woman crying “what is happening” was fake… and it wasn’t.

That seems pretty dubious to me. But in addition to that, I don’t think a ton of the 1,000 rejected affidavit ballots are going to belong to this group anyway. And He needs to overcome 29 votes, which doesn’t sound like much, but in the context of at best a few hundred votes, and probably less than that, overcoming 29 seems pretty unlikely.