Betting on Politics: Predictit is NOT Dead

the capitol got stormed and they’er going to hold a real trial taking weeks so no. That’s a lock.

Wow, that paid out quickly.

Well put some money back in for the impeachment. Any reason not to max clean sweep even if it is at 97c?

as long as GA certifies, then bet the max

https://twitter.com/GeoffRBennett/status/1349493402019237896

Blinken also 19th

these are just committee hearings not senate confirmation votes but people are idiots so may sell get back in later, dunno. Those should be relatively safe, DNI usually isn’t early but sounds like biden’s gonna prioritize it.

McDonough 27th

Any scenarios that would make the conf votes lag a long time behind the hearings?

for those four, only DNI

but yes, the entire impeachment trial

Some markets I think NO is underpriced tho. Order just kinda depends what biden wants given schumer will be senate leader soon.

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LMAO

https://twitter.com/PolymarktWhales/status/1350035411217883138?s=19

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https://twitter.com/Domahhhh/status/1350140453585211392

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Jesus so I need to figure out this sketchy polymarket shit?

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I’m not sure what’s more shocking about those poly market tweets. The actual dollar amounts that people are lighting on fire or that the price is up in the teens again on these bets…5 days before inauguration…

Like wtf happened 10 hours ago that Biden being inaugurated plummeted to 65 on poly market?

So this polymarket is basically bitcoin millionaires lighting money on fire?

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mypillow guy went to see trump with his cheat sheet of what to do, fire CIA director put in trump toad, declare martial law, claim he really won therefore he’s president too bad libs.

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you’d think so, but biden to get inaugurated on the 20th man I’m just hoping for it at this point.

azar resigns

still 3 cents

looool. How is that even a sentence.

Sketchy markets using bitcoin seem -EV in the long run.

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Nikki Haley now trading higher than Trump for 2024 nominee.