lol, that’s some free money right there.
huge pump 22->34
The market for Senate to convict by January 20 also jumped from 5 to 12 cents. Bought a few more no’s as no way they are going to get this done by the 20th, even if Mitch supports it.
edit: as the markets are exclusive, that means people think there is a 50% chance Senate convicts. Seems a bit optimistic.
if mitch and chuck agree, they can start the day after it passes the house. that’s why it went up
Sure. But Senate not in session right now and don’t see them calling special session and having everyone return immediately. I’ve seen no hints that Mitch is considering this.
Plus even if they do, odds of them holding a quick vote seems low. I’d expect even if you convince R Senators to vote yes, they’re going to demand a full trial to show their constituents they took this seriously and the evidence was overwhelming.
I didn’t say it was going to happen or you were wrong. If they do start sooner, then the price jumps.
Some may just be betting on that and selling then.
I don’t think they will either tho.
Congrats to whoever had more than 249 or more on yes impeach votes you won even if it ultimately falls short of that
Is this a dollar bill for 50c right now?
I’d have to do a full count to find that one out. It’s probably close.
This is a blessing in disguise for the GOP. What a convenient way to oust Trump once and for all. Considering there’s probably going to be more violence in the coming months I would guess most of their donors and corporate America will mount the pressure to get rid of him for good.
I thought there was some stupid rule that they needed unanimous consent to bypass a bunch of technicalities, which is why Mitch initially said the senate was unlikely to do anything until 1/19. Good luck getting unanimous consent.
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I bought some Yes in the Senate to convict by Jan 20 market to ride the uptick for a bit. I still don’t think it’s gonna happen though. I think it’ll get over 20c then I’ll prob hop back on the NO train.
Back before the election I saw a bunch of Pence +~5000 for “next president of the US” on books that I don’t have access to and thought it might be worth a flier. Didn’t put any money on it but I’m curious how those bets get graded if Trump is removed.
sigh I only bought $80 worth of NO on this and it’s 72 now.
Looks short but dunno, only a few tipped their hand. Some are now trying censure (LOL)
in the end do house republicans want to vote to impeach their king, seems no most likely even with a few defectors
Yeah i got rekt, i bought ‘NO’ on everything except for 249+ at the equivalency of ~35c and now i’m underwater a pretty good amount due to the censure pump for the middle brackets. At least my losses are capped by the de-risk from all the ‘NO’ bins. This is what I get for venturing out of my comfort zone and betting on outcomes that haven’t already been determined
uh, shit if I caused that
Nah, i thought it was worth the risk buying up the ‘NO’ brackets since the amount I can lose is a lot lower, and it gives me a fun sweat to see if a few dozen Republicans decide to bury Trump
so uh the 25th market is going nuts for a different vote right now I think anyway
lol me if it is
If they fast-track impeach him, it might happen before Joe’s first 100 days, no?
if they send the articles the trial starts the 19th unless mitch speedruns it
Haha, I’m so afraid of getting pwned by the rules.