It takes some number like $1200 to counter $85 at those percentages. I think I sold out of everything pro them I had too in those markets and maybe that’s a mistake, we’ll see on JAN 6.
can get 7 cents or 93 against on some of them now, or offer and it’ll fill at some point
Yeah in hindsight i feel dumb I bought in at some at 96c, feels like 95c or lower was basically a sure thing. But whatever it’s not a huge deal, I’m losing a couple 8.50s here or there. Jan 6 you’d think they would shoot back up to 95c+ but with MAGA who knows. Hard to keep track all the next insane MAGA theorys that gets Trump inaugurated. Still trading at like 10c on Polymarket after all
fwiw, Loeffler -145 bovada, Warnock +150 is out there but the latter book doesn’t have a great rep so I won’t promote it here (it’s been good for me though, but do not deposit a lot at first)
feels like my gambling is starting to operate like a goddamn hedge fund now. I’ve found 10 arbs in the last 2 days, some of them peanuts but when you start going by annual ROI…
So Hawley is kind of implying he’s only going to object to PA? But that probably breaks damn for Tuberville or someone to object to all of Trumps favorite states.
damnit I really thought Hawley might as he wants to be president someday and I didn’t fire the clip, lol me.
actually bailed out of my house no’s 1-3 because even though they’ll object they have to sign the darn thing, dems back in the day only one signed it even tho more than that voted.
So I took a flier on House 25+ No’s at 16. I still don’t believe 1-3 is anything but No but I don’t wanna risk that much on it.
I don’t know the EV of that since so many R’s are in support but whatever.
Are there any PI markets left besides cabinet where you can bet on Trump to be president? Because I’d bet that this would make those moon too, since MAGA’s are going to believe this is the KRAKEN something something.