Betting on Politics: Predictit is NOT Dead

https://twitter.com/PolymarktWhales/status/1342705282217086977
https://twitter.com/PolymarktWhales/status/1342009740101087232
https://twitter.com/PolymarktWhales/status/1341993341223890949
https://twitter.com/PolymarktWhales/status/1341791927587512321

never gonna give you up, never gonna let you down, never gonna see that money again

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https://twitter.com/teddyspeedboat/status/1342852046500880386
https://twitter.com/RealPhilGold/status/1342787187717275649

https://twitter.com/Freedomlover100/status/1342786310965178368

same question I have man, let me know if they aren’t lying and actually do have an answer

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Can you propose PI markets? Would be great to get a “Who will be President on 3/1/20” with options:

  1. Joe Biden;
  2. Kamala Harris;
  3. Donald Trump;
  4. Mike Pence;
  5. Nancy Pelosi

With a yes/no on each.

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you can e-mail or tweet at them but they probably will ignore you

certain bettors have tried pretty hard, only rarely will they do it

Went all in on Trump Exit date 2021. This fucker better not die in the next week.

https://twitter.com/PolymarktWhales/status/1343337811764768774

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I don’t know if I’m a bad person but I’m having fun

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Giggling at “putting a lot of pressure on John Roberts through Twitter”. Posting is warfare people.

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Love how these people think the entire system is rigged against Trump but they still bet on Trump regardless.

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im getting crushed on cabinet markets. The MAGA crowd always surprises me, i never learn

Wayfair hasn’t been the same recently.

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It takes some number like $1200 to counter $85 at those percentages. I think I sold out of everything pro them I had too in those markets and maybe that’s a mistake, we’ll see on JAN 6.

can get 7 cents or 93 against on some of them now, or offer and it’ll fill at some point

Yeah in hindsight i feel dumb I bought in at some at 96c, feels like 95c or lower was basically a sure thing. But whatever it’s not a huge deal, I’m losing a couple 8.50s here or there. Jan 6 you’d think they would shoot back up to 95c+ but with MAGA who knows. Hard to keep track all the next insane MAGA theorys that gets Trump inaugurated. Still trading at like 10c on Polymarket after all

fwiw, Loeffler -145 bovada, Warnock +150 is out there but the latter book doesn’t have a great rep so I won’t promote it here (it’s been good for me though, but do not deposit a lot at first)

feels like my gambling is starting to operate like a goddamn hedge fund now. I’ve found 10 arbs in the last 2 days, some of them peanuts but when you start going by annual ROI…

Fucking Josh Hawley. Lol me.

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Tuberville trading as 90c. Is this just based on Hawley or is there any actual news?

Damn all the senator objection markets are mooning.

So Hawley is kind of implying he’s only going to object to PA? But that probably breaks damn for Tuberville or someone to object to all of Trumps favorite states.

damnit I really thought Hawley might as he wants to be president someday and I didn’t fire the clip, lol me.

actually bailed out of my house no’s 1-3 because even though they’ll object they have to sign the darn thing, dems back in the day only one signed it even tho more than that voted.

So I took a flier on House 25+ No’s at 16. I still don’t believe 1-3 is anything but No but I don’t wanna risk that much on it.

I don’t know the EV of that since so many R’s are in support but whatever.

Are there any PI markets left besides cabinet where you can bet on Trump to be president? Because I’d bet that this would make those moon too, since MAGA’s are going to believe this is the KRAKEN something something.