Betting on Politics: Predictit is NOT Dead

foolishly I didn’t save all these posted on PI, but here’s one

gop +280 being one of the trades of the election because it doubled is titling to look at then you realize he didn’t sell and laugh,

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That is so satisfying to see. It does make me feel a bit better to know that at the other end of my trades is some complete piece of shit who blew $15k based on Facebook conspiracy theories and blind allegiance to Dear Leader

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Election was our mini version of reverse mortgages and gold freedom coins, just a straight up transfer of money from idiots.

whatever doesn’t pay out tuesday probably gets another maga bounce at some point

I don’t know what the hell they’ll come up with, but it’ll be something.

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this post isn’t accurate

it’s a complete piece of shit who blew 15k off facebook conspiracies and blind allegiance on a credit card, so now he’s going to have to hide it and pay off interest and penalties or post in the divorce thread

never give up never never give up

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Lol Parler law bros have even worse takes than our law bros.

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They literally sent out an email telling MAGA they were gonna close the markets on the 14th and yet a lot of the state markets are still trading at 95/5. They are going down with the ship I guess

95/5 means it isn’t profitable to deposit for the free money anymore. If you have money sitting on the site though it’s a free 5% that should pay out in 24 hours.

I assume that if PredictIt settles several state races today the freed-up money will immediately flow into other markets, even those where people will just be skimming a few percent. May want to buy single shares now to make sure you aren’t locked out of those markets later.

wisconsin was 89 this morning MAGATARDS maybe still 91/92 if you weren’t already tapped out in that state

I’ve never seen a non presidential one get locked, don’t expect it here either, so many people are only there for the potus betting but your point is correct, if you’re not first you may have to wait some days before the market gets through that giant dump.

Most of it will be in the cabinet markets I suppose.

No faithless so far but I didn’t put in any big amount, sad.

Has anyone researched the Congressional Objections market? I assume the anti-MAGA trade is to take “none,” which is trading around 30c.

I have some on NO on 7, house is a lock object. senate basically depends on whether rand paul or ted cruz (or a future potus wanna be like howley) does it and how far they wanna go.

Does “The House” count as one objection or can each dipshit MAGA representative object as some sort of meaningless performative theater? If that’s the case, given that 126 of these assholes already signed that letter it feels like 7+ might actually be the best play.

one house + one senator have to formally object

not grandstand, but actual in writing object house is still a lock a senator doing 7 would shock me. They’re relatively resistant to that shit

also if trump electors in those contested states are also sent, they may not pay out till jan 6th to the chagrin of this board.

Ah thanks, looks like I’ve been misreading it. It isn’t the number of congresscritters that object, it’s the number of states that get objections. So house will object to >7 states and it’s just a question of whether any senator will object to any states. Even if a senator objects to some states it seems very unlikely they’ll object to 7 or more. Makes sense.

Well, a couple of the ‘contested’ states have already had their EC votes (like Nevada), and those bets haven’t been graded yet. A sign pointing towards PredictIt closing them all at once for max LOLMAGA.

right, basically it’s “how many states will a member of the senate object to”