I guess the logic is that if mail-in ballots get invalidated, Trump will have “won” the popular vote in that state
Right, but if the state legislatures just give it to Trump or the Texas lawsuit works, they’re just going to pay out for Trump I guess. I mean none of that is going to happen, but PI is changing the rules to benefit the Trumpers.
that isn’t new for PI
also at this point I’m actually hoping they don’t close markets till after jan 1st so it’s not this years tax bill
also they said may but NV could’ve gotten paid out awhile ago and probably MI too and WI has to be close
well that wouldn’t be changing the rules, they said whoever got the most votes in the state. Doesn’t say how. State legislatures just giving it to trump would still cause that state to be paid out in favor of biden though. Well supposed to be anyway.
The potus markets are still 85/15 for a reason tho.
also a few EC markets are based on what they are on the 14th (and faithless don’t count in one of them), if PI fucks that up I’m gonna be pissed.
I’m in the opposite spot, I may end up having to roll my positions over so I can realize most of the gains this year.
Yeah but they’re waiting to see which way the electors go. That means the state legislature ploy pays out for Trump.
I gotta respect the Trumpers on this one. They’ve managed to whine their way to higher EV by convincing the neutral gambling arbiter to change the rules after the game. Boomers own the world, man.
“Will AOC run for president in 2024?“ seems like a good place to park some funds long-term.
Are you serious?
End Date: 12/31/2023 11:59 PM (ET)
I did say long term.
Or at least this is the spot to buy a single share so you don’t get locked out of the market in four years.
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A few of my Biden for president markets are still trading at what I bought them for:joy:
atleast it looks like this shit will be settled soon. MAGA people are going to lose their minds when the markets close with Biden for president still trading below 90c.
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If it closes at 90 cents, do you get the max payout?
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Yes
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If they don’t shut them all down at once it’s going to be a fucking shitshow on Monday. I might block out my morning.
PredictIt is gonna be less useable on Dec 14 than it was on election night as people racing to get into other free money markets before they close
Reality is slowly setting in on PI it appears, even if only temporarily.
We need to suggest a slew of, “Will SCOTUS overturn the results and remove Biden by X/XX/21?” markets and keep rolling them out there for the MAGA folks. We might be able to get four years of dollars for 85 cents.
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parking funds for 3 years is not something I recommend here
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it’s because people think they’re getting paid in the state markets on the 14th due to the e-mail
The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which identifies that number of 2020 Electoral College votes that are cast in favor of Donald J. Trump for President on December 14, 2020.
245 or more still NO at 90c
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