Another Kraken unleashed? I’m just slowing bleeding unrealized gains on PredictIt. GRADE MY BETS
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GOP rhetoric starting to turn it seems. GA gov called for a signature audit (SOS has that power though not him, who is probably DOA politically now in GA hopefully not literally)
I panic sold 7.5-10k Biden in GA off that news. Signature recount could have some biggers swongs. What a mess
I’ve mostly avoided the margin markets outside of when they overvalue recent news and they don’t have to do much to swing to another bracket. They’re running out of options and time though.
B4/5 now about even in the marketplace–what a mess. The all time PI markets get another entry just from the number of flips/big moves.
edit–ugh you weren’t kidding about the bleeding I just looked at my dashboard, I don’t see where this new $ is coming from.
I mean the Secretary of State seems very over the nonsense…
Per CNN, SOS says he does not have that power and it would need to be ordered by a court. This just seems like more posturing to mollify the cultists. Golly, sorry about the Democratic fraud, we should definitely do 800 more investigations but unfortunately I don’t have the power to order that.
Chapo said this like the week after the election but there will be no elections for the forseeable future where there will not be an assault on the results and democratic process when the GOP loses. There’s just no longer any such thing as an election that the GOP loses legitimately.
Yeah it feel like that bucket is still super safe but i didnt wanna hold it at 99cents anymore. Should be able to buy back it when it becomes clear it is super ultra lock again at 99
14 cents on trump to win the election everywhere is madness. Dumped my klob cabinet no shares to chase more from that market not settling till march.
Dumb question: Whats the point in “certification” of election results when you can simply re-certify?
They should start a market “Will the Klob cabinet market settle before the presidential election market?”
Yeah, lately there are often a lot of those. Colin Powell gets a lot of votes for some reason too. But they only do it because they know it wont’ affect the outcome of the race. There is zero chance a faithless elector is like “Man, I really want to vote for Spotted Eagle to make a statement, so I’m doing that even though I know that doing that throws the election to Trump.”
Self-Pardon is dubious enough that there are also scenarios where he resigns to have Pence pardon him.
Safe harbor date is 4 days away. Electoral college votes in 10 days. Becoming more insane every day that this continues.
Edit to add: because California doesn’t certify their election until Dec 11, that is the date Biden will reach 270+ EVs in certified states. So 7 days away from that happening.
California certified tonight, per news reports.
279 Biden votes have now been certified. The outstanding blue states yet to announce certification of the vote are HI, IL, and NJ.
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and have it never settle
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Do they take parlays on that?
Would bet Jared.
Jared, Rudy, and all the kids seem to be good value.
I bet self-pardon and Kushner so far. Don Jr. and Ivanka seem probable too. LOL only pardoning them and not Eric, which is going to be fantastic.