The argument against is nixon’s blueprint of resign, VP does it. which is trading at 15c so there’s an arb there if you’re 100% sure.
I feel like there’s no way Trump resigns, just not in him to do that. Also not 100% sure Pence would be willing to cooperate.
I don’t think he resigns either but he would be aware of that and pence isn’t gonna stand up to him
Agree
Disagree. He’d absolutely pardon Trump in this scenario. 100%.
Pence would pardon him with a ball gag in his mouth on national television
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Only if his wife was in the room.
Got out of the Georgia vote margin at 40c, was in for 22c. Hopped in and out a couple times, so I think I got more than a double up.
Haven’t been following it closely enough so I’d just be gambling to let it ride I think, it would just be based off the risk audit changes. Probably costing myself like 2 grand but whatever. Took another $1500 or so on sale for 90 cents instead.
They keep finding new markets to sell dollars for 90 cents!
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Another electoral market. I have no idea how to bet this one or even what it is
How many electoral certificates of vote will be formally challenged in Congress?
Bascially how many states electors get challenged in Congress, needs one senator and one house member to object. It seems like a lock they will get a house member to object to all of the obvious target states, unclear if they will get Rand or someone in the senate to join the circus.
Does the house/senate member need to be representing the state they are objecting?
It doesn’t appear so to me.
in I suck at this news I almost plunked down a couple hundred against raimondo HHS yesterday
WELP just betting against everyone who got pumped as the front runner crushed that market at least
that would make sense but nope I looked that up awhile ago
a house member will, that’s a lock I figure Rand probably will he enjoys shit like that but dunno how many.
This is the most fun market ever. I’ve been able to max two other markets with just profits from this market and I’m still holding a decent sized position in the 12.5k-15k bracket. I really think the 200 something margin will hold with only Fulton to report, but the mess with their reporting is making me a little iffy. I can’t follow today due to work. So I might just bail.
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Where are you tracking it?
Yesterday I had the big unreported counties up on autorefresh on my computer. They have an official place they upload the results. It was a dead link until it got updated. Then just be quick on your feet. You can also find links to original results in a spreadsheet by a guy on Twitter. It’s in the comments of the markets. I don’t want to potentially have to bail on short notice without paying attention though for the last reported county.
80% of the money I’ve made is probably from just setting sell and buy orders though. Every single reports yesterdya made the market swing way more than it should. So as long as you didn’t panic sell you were good. It always settled way off the peaks and lows.
This is 99% of predictit. Markets wildly overreact to news.
they take 10% of every profitable trade
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signs from God like duh obv
I’m tempted by Warnock +130. LOLOLOL Loeffler is a truly awful candidate.