I can’t even remember now what it was but in like 2017 there was a market that drug on for like 6+ months on some technicality. I think it was a government shutdown market.
BTW when i was looking up the interest thing i also saw this –
so there is language that allows them to clawback payments. i guess that gets tough if ppl cash out instantly though so thats probably reason enough not to pay out early
g. the Clearing House can debit funds from your Ledger to correct manifest errors, such as mistaken payments;
someone very drunk at like 4 am here took Yang to 35c in commerce sec.
do it when I’m awake please ffs
reality finally setting in on PI?
Looks about the same as it has for a week to me. It’s bounced between trump 12-14 and biden 88-90 in that timeframe. in all the lol contested states its bounced around biden 89-91.
Someone in the shitposting section called “comments” put up a support e-mail saying a bunch of markets were gonna get graded today, so it went up a few cents but since has settled back down. People manipulating markets game getting better.
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Update on the lollercoaster that is Biden by 10k-12.5k in GA. I’ve now flipped my shares 7 times and more than tripled my money. It could have been even better if I didn’t have a sell order in at 32c for half my shares. Dumped the rest at 48c.
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https://twitter.com/marceelias/status/1333551137652428801
Naturally Trump odds are back down to 15-1. Seems reasonable.
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How many electoral college votes will be cast for Donald Trump?
How many electoral college votes will be cast for Joe Biden?
Betting on faithless electors now. Have there been any in previous years that weren’t replaced?
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? there were a bunch four years ago
probably not this go around tho but who knows
How the f have they not settled the state markets that have certified? I can kind of see waiting on the electoral college market but there is not a single argument any more for not settling the state markets.
there’s still a bunch of lawsuits and various congressmen trying to invalidate election results
certification means jack shit though, people gotta stop harping on that
So in 2016, of the 306 -232 state breakdown, actual electors voted:
304 Trump
227 Clinton
3 Colin Powell
1 Bernie
1 Kasich
1 Ron Paul
1 Faith Spotted Eagle
It seems like betting “NO” on Trump 232 seems like a solid bet. Maybe even “NO” on Biden 306… based on 2016
Oh man, the faithless elector market is going to be a great sweat.
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They don’t matter. They are beyond frivolous at this point. I can go file a lawsuit. That doesn’t make it mean anything. The results are certified.
What is the means of settling these markets if it’s not the secretaries of state and state governments, tabulating and certifying results? We wait on OANN to say Biden won these states? Or Trump to concede these states on Twitter?
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plus three more that later got invalidated
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But before 2016, there weren’t any in 2012 or 2008, and only 1 each in 2000 and 2004
they can also uncertify the certification. It’s irrelevant. What’s relevant is when they’re fucking done with this shit, which granted may be never but at least not till the 8th.
By your arguments, they can never settle these bets? Or we have to wait on Trump to concede?
Once some of my bets actually get graded I’m gonna gamble it up in the EC vote markets. Current plan to bet ‘NO’ on the 236 / 304 and also “NO” on the MAGA bins (Trump win Biden lose)