This is probably a lock for YES but i hate betting on stuff like this. Too spoiled by betting on pre-determined outcomes
https://mobile.twitter.com/pi_alerts/status/1331298598030626819
There was just some fun in the “tightest MOV” market. AZ SOS website had a data error, misattributing some votes and showing a ~0.1% MOV. Some people loaded up on AZ at cheap and then posted the link in the chat. The price eventually rose up to like 25c or so before dropping. The error is now corrected. Pretty sick payoff if you’re quick though, like a penny stock pump and dump.
BOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO
I’m over here mashing refresh with all my new bets lined up to mash the buy button when I have the funds lol… Now I gotta wait days? BOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO
Bastards. They’re opening up these new markets trying to force us to deposit before they settle the ones where we get PAID that Randy Moss STRAIGHT CASH HOMIE.
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So i guess with these,
For GA to resolve yes you are banking on the hand count audit being more accurate than the original count (after correction for missing ballots). Since the audit was ~500 votes lower
For WI to resolve yes you are banking on them finding 100+ ballots to throw out. Since they are doing the recounts in solid blue areas if they somehow found extra ballots it would be a plus for Biden.
I sort of lean towards ‘NO’ on WI and just flip a coin for GA, but idk if im degenerate enough to bet these. Depends on when PI resolves my other bets
How about a “will Biden be invited to the White House prior to inauguration?”
Because that shit is never happening. Ever.
“Number of people named Trump at Biden’s inauguration”
WI is currently +57 for trump in the recount.
You are missing the lawsuits, only need one okay those hundred votes can go for whatever reason. He’s got a few arguable cases if he really wanted to push it but none of them flip a state.
vince meme
sees pennsylvania bets paid out
sees michigan bets paid out
sees biden bets paid out
sees biden primary bets paid out
also betonline paid out michigan
I’m glad I got my money but I just feel sad knowing with a little more planning I could have made so much more
For what it’s worth, GA margin of victory 10K to 12.5K is cheaper than GA margin shrinks by 100+. The hand count audit got it below 12.5K… It’s possible that the final count could land > 12.5K while shrinking by 100+, but for 20c vs 34c it seems worth it.
I’m still pissed at myself for not getting a new credit card to churn the money through for a new promotional offer. I pumped more than $20K into PredictIt, probably cost myself at least a few grand.
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Hopefully there’s another pandemic next election so we can take advantage properly
Jk
Unless…
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We don’t really need a pandemic, just lunatics who are completely in denial of basic facts.
I want those boosted odds when the mail in ballots haven’t been counted yet
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had that before trump on PI HILLARY GONNA RUN OR GET INDICTED ANY DAY NOW took forever for reality to hit those markets
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There are currently 4 states who have been called by every major decision desk, have certified elections, and have a chosen slate of electors that PI doesn’t consider settled.
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Yeah it’s not funny anymore at this point. Getting mad that they aren’t resolving these.