Betting on Politics: Predictit is NOT Dead

We use it against them. Sun Tzu, “In the midst of chaos, there is also opportunity.”

They have created chaos in their base, and they do not control it fully. They have traded reliable college educated white collar workers and suburban white women for QAnon believers and disgruntled white working class men.

The strength they have is that they can trick them to vote against their own interests because they are so easily manipulated. The weakness they have created is that over half their base is easily manipulated.

To put it in poker terms, the GOP is getting to the river with air a lot and bluffing. The eDems are waiting for sets or better to call, so the GOP is dragging pot after pot. Fuck that shit, raise their ass. Raise them with everything that doesn’t have showdown value and call with any bluff catcher.

Bovada settled MI for Biden today. C’mon PI!

1 Like

pi: noidontthinkiwill.jpg

Do younger people that grew up in the internet age fall for this crap at the same rate as Boomers do? We might just have to sweat a few decades of this before it gets straightened back again.

Everything

…because our bets still won’t be resolved by then

:(

In all seriousness though, maybe a couple grand? I’m not sure there will actually be many markets to make money off of if Trump isn’t on the ballot. But I don’t want to make the mistake again of cashing out and having to re-deposit and getting raked 5% again. This is how they suck you in!

–dly, probably.

1 Like

We use it against them by repeating how Trump’s election victory was stolen from him?

Closed at 8/92

lmao.

Muh tightening I guess but I can’t see dollars on sale for less than $0.91 right now and I have a bunch of “spots” in the capped markets.

1 Like

By making up whatever conspiracy theories we want to steer them toward staying home, even by presenting true narratives in conspiratorial packaging.

I agree. I think now it’s more a game of figuring out which markets will close first, hopping market to market picking up a few pennies each time.

Michigan finally paid out. Now I get to invest my winnings into elections that were decided three weeks ago, feels very odd.

Where, Bovada? My PI Michigan bets still haven’t settled.

“Which party will win MI” on PI

WTF mine hasn’t settled

Popular vote winner has paid out but all of the GOP No brackets I have on the popular vote haven’t paid out…sigh. I want to flip profits into more free money!

Yeah I’m frustrated that my MI hasn’t paid out and others have, they’re rolling profits and I’m stuck watching opportunities to do so diminish…

HEY PREDICT IT

OK, my mistake, it’s the popular vote market that settled, not MI. I got COVID brain and misread my messages.

1 Like

Straight up gambling:

https://mobile.twitter.com/pi_alerts/status/1331298616795926532

https://mobile.twitter.com/pi_alerts/status/1331298635817111553