California is not gonna be finished counting for weeks and doesnt certify until mid December.
So why cant I buy shares for a penny and see if somebody wants to buy them for two pennies? Because thatd be absurd and theres no way trump can win CA and keeping the market open would make the whole affair look foolish?
I dig it but I’m maxed in those and theres no way the maga money has an in. If anything magas made money from this. They’re buying the yes side and going balls to the wall.
I’ve been using the poker apps lately where it’s a lot easier to change your name and if someone has a screen name like “KamalaStinx/MAGA2020” or uses the Trump avatar, they are straight up garbage 100% of the time. Easiest tell ever and it feels good taking their money.
Right but it feels like some bullshit to goad people into loading up more money, as I’m locked in and these markets aren’t high enough to sell out and too low imo to play any drift. I’m just having trouble wrapping my head around it and it’s made me lose customer confidence in predictit as an entity.
XRP went up 35% overnight. Sorry predictit, guarantee you won’t be sitting on my funds for months on an election THAT IS OVER and you can get a taste of my Ripple bux , otherwise fuck off.
PI isn’t controlling the price of the markets, beyond the betting cap. If they could settle GOP by 280+ and keep the rest live that would be best, but I’m not sure they can… It seems reasonable to me to wait to pay until after recounts, even if they’re laughable recounts.
But maybe I’m biased cause I want that MAGA money to keep flowing.
well, I suppose they’d have to file in federal court with their allegations of millions of votes flipped and dead people voting.
it’s ridiculous how many people are lurching on even though they sound like complete lunatics that it’s all because of hugo chavez or republicans cheated the election for joe biden in georgia (they even insisted AOC/bernie should be locked up in there somehow too).
but that’s not the point, the point is after it’s filed the odds go up, they don’t have to win the argument, they just need where 5 supreme court justices decide to screw the libs.
Though there are dem defenses for the worst case scenarios, but it requires pelosi and R’s would definitely never allow a D president again if they had the house if she did it.
nate silver will probably get upset but he also doesn’t understand some people betting on trump are just hoping to flip it later on. ie, if you got in at 5c you crushed anyone else betting on this. ie, a 9c to 13c gain clobbers profit wise any 86c win.
I fucked up and sold about half my GA Biden by 10-12.5K position when Toomey called the election over, I took it as a sign the people who actually run the country are about to make the whole GOP turn on him.
I thought I’d cycle it back in at a lower price.
Then I saw Powell say she’s going to drop the hammer on GA in a big way. It’s now gone from 23c to 29c.
I managed to get in at 15c yesterday and set a sell price at 20c overnight. Thinking I could get back in around 15-16c again today. Then set a buy order at 19c since that was the lowest I saw it all day. People a 100 shares or something in front of me was filled last time I checked and then the recount tweet dropped and I missed out. Could have gotten a full double in a day:(