Betting on Politics: Predictit is NOT Dead

Yeah, putting all my BTC into Bovada so I can get free money on Biden is not working out.

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GA is trading at 85c. WTF

It’s fucking ridiculous. I can’t even sell off my winning bets because the price is completely untethered from reality. Pay me my fucking money so I can take advantage of these other absurd markets.

I’m trying to figure out what the best value-buys are in case my wife makes an account. Betting the fullsuite of GOP margins for the EC seems like the obvious #1 because that’s like an 80c dollar bill. #2 is maybe the popular vote margin market where GOP 10.5% is trading at 6c? I think you can combine all the ridiculous prices there to get to under an 85c dollar.

If you got paid your money the other markets wouldn’t be so absurd. The PredictIt dilemma.

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While she’s in labor apparently, hard core.

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Baby Reed will be in the PredictIt game next week.

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Lol this post was about 30 minutes before her water broke. Making it rain in more ways than one.

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Got 1600 shares at 18c in the Biden by 10k-12.5k as a gamble. Think that is roughly correct for a 5 million ballot machine recount with 180 votes needing to change. Just the fact 5 million ballots need to be placed in to a machine by lol humans might be enough.

sigh at joe already announcing too many cabinet picks. I still like NO’s on warren/klob/pete for the cabinet a few trumpers I’m hoping to get a better price for and something pays out first and no karen bass for the senate in the 80’s (I’ve since sold out of this) and some no’s on sporadic people at like 98 or something that are N/A now. The risk now for me is no on yang commerce. I don’t see that one either, maybe I’m the lol there giving back all the yang bucks.

Trump has a decent shot of getting some ballots thrown out in some states, not enough to overturn a state but I do agree that current margin is a bit of a risk everywhere if they keep throwing suit after suit and various lottos are fine.

I see free money markets are under 5% profit now after fees, sad

we need the kraken now to make predictit great again

The EC market still some insanely free money. If there was no cap I would shove my entire liquid net worth into that market. It’s basically 70c dollar bills if you max the no side

https://twitter.com/TimAlberta/status/1330985841880084480

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So Georgia and Michigan are certified. What else is possibly needed?

can’t audit unless it’s certified first, which they were talking about

in one of the many all time binks on PI history, GSA cert was 1c and just hit 98c

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Damnnnnnnn. That would have been a hell of a bet after this morning it seemed like Nov 23 or sooner was drawing completely dead

It just closed. Congrats to someone working at the GSA.

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Yup, Domer says he just made $15k on that in a couple of seconds. Crazy.