Betting on Politics: Predictit is NOT Dead

My stonks on PredictIt are absolutely drilling. The Kraken unleashed!!! jfc

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MFW I maxed out the main pres market at no on trump while buying all of the $.86s and now there’s $.84s for sale

I’m maxxed in almost every f***ing presidential market on this site at this point lmao. hate seeing all these buying chances and i cant get any more but otoh i cant put much more in lol

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Fascinating stuff watching the other markets that should be closed by now moving around because people are trying to get in on these deals elsewhere

Trump up to 20 cents now. WTF

I’m at the bargaining phase now on my bets, if Trump somehow wins the dollars I have on PredictIt wouldn’t have been worth much anyways.

Lol I’m debating opening my wife a predictit account. This is insane.

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missing the easiest free money ever of not conceding and not snap selling everything right after the election to buy trump is one of the most foolish $$$ things I’ve done. I almost did it yesterday because I knew this shit was coming but nope I keep listening to idiots telling me otherwise. I’m the idiot again, sigh.

PI’s odds are probably not too far off on his odds of “winning” except the 280 EC and trump wins landslide stuff trumpers are buying isn’t gonna happen. I mean, it’s hard to say if Michigan ends up state legislature electors, does he win michigan or not in PI’s view? It’s gray area.

Oh yeah this is a good idea!

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The contract says popular vote winner, not winner of electoral college votes.

I guess the state legislature could declare him the popular vote winner, though.

PI has the clause PredictIt may determine how and when to settle the market based on all information available to PredictIt at the relevant time.

for a reason, PI has settled markets wrong before, PI has also settled markets that us traders would disagree with on their own rules before.

obviously sportsbooks are just gonna side with the winner, no matter how bullshit it is.

gonna be a lot of new posts in the divorce thread if trump wins now I see

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Damn. I wanted to buy the 10k-12,5k yes batch earlier. It was already close to that with the new found votes and it was trading at like 3 cents.

Didn’t they say they would use the first results for certifying tho? With the new votes recertified. Wonder if 12.5k-15k might have value soon.

Lol as I type that it jumps 0.25…

I bought the 10-12.5k ‘NO’ for 95 cents yesterday and then i paniced when i realized they could still be off somewhere else and sold at 93 cents about a half hour later. Phew.

I just got 1000 share buy fill at 85c in the 1%-2% MOV market for Pennsylvania. Now i’m basically quintuple-maxxed in that state lol. I’m sure it will be trading at like 75c tomorrow because kraken stuff

Lol the vote market in Georgia is going bonkers. I managed to buy 800 shares at 20 cent yes and sold for 45 cent 10 minutes later. Still have no idea how that market will settle. Going to try and buy the dip again and see if I can do it a second time😂

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lmao at how wild the GA vote total market is because people are confused whether it’s going to be the 12780, original number, or the revised number.

why am I never smart enough to just fire the other side whatever it is when it’s announced even if I have no idea what’s going on

also guess who punted $40 (forgot to pull that remaining amount yesterday sigh) selling out at 6 cents? This guy did

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Seems like I sold out to early…
Reading the addendum at the bottom of the rules I think it will be settled at 12700 whatever unless Trump files for another recount. I wonder if there’s value in 10k-12.5k if it totally craters and new recount is announced.