2024 US Presidential Election (Taylor's Version)

Politics & News
8913

How so?

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8914

Man…they are my daughter’s age.

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8916

https://x.com/PpollingNumbers/status/1835782339714248859

Crap pollster, but moving in the right direction.

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8919

At first I thought this was a poll of The Villages.

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8920

Thought this article was pretty good and probably a lot of people here, myself included, could take something from it

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8922

I don’t really agree with this.

Framing politicians who take a position they don’t believe as cowards misses a more likely alternative. That many politicians are policy maximisers. They want to get the most policy they agree with passed, and are willing to concede some to get others through.

Sure. There’s a bunch of self interested cowards in politics, but maximising explains the outcome just as well.

8923

https://x.com/davidpaleologos/status/1835830789142933774

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8924

I have some good polling news, I got several endorsements when I clowned on some trumper in overwatch chat. Its 5v5 so there may be some variance.

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8925

I can see the benefit in saying what you need to say during the election to get into office but is there really a huge motivation to pass legislation you don’t agree with as president? Does Clinton lose in 1996 if he vetoes the gay marriage ban? It seems very marginal. The extent to which politicians are willing to sell out for even the most trivial of gains is inescapable.

8926

https://x.com/ppollingnumbers/status/1835874274365563358?s=46&t=hICOYYyCHuimCJQWftVfBQ

Not great.

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8927

That’s especially good news in a game favored by the mentally limited.

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8928

Meh. JB won by 1.17% which was about 80k votes. Idk what the polling averages were.

8929

He was at an average of +4.7 going into election day in PA last time. It’s clear that any notion of Harris being ahead rests in the hope that there isn’t yet another state-level polling problem in a Trump election.

But the earlier Harris +3 today by a high-quality pollster was nice.

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8930

My hopium is that the pollsters are determined to not to underestimate the Trump vote a 3rd time around and have overcorrected the opposite way.

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https://x.com/umichvoter/status/1835997439729226063?s=46

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https://x.com/PpollingNumbers/status/1835992298653368336

Safe to say I believe this poll more than I believe the Trump +10 in Indiana poll from somewhat recently. Not that there was an open question of him losing this state outright or anything.

https://x.com/PpollingNumbers/status/1835993526493991140

Happily, I also believe this one for Alsobrooks. The one that Hogan tied seems to be an outlier.

1 Like