We have to be drawing live to elon just banning that account (and much more?) right?
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This is from tonight, has some Elon stuff.
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https://x.com/PpollingNumbers/status/1823378786814988693
Alright, between this and Florida, unfortunately nothing too bonkers appears to be happening in the pipe dream states.
New beard for everyone to weigh in on
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I did a triple-take wondering why they labelled nick kroll as nate silver. āIs he playing him in a movie? Why on earth would they make a movie about nate silver?ā
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Yeah this is why a landslide is very unlikely, imo. When you sort 2020 by margin of victory, Biden won all the close races.
NC MOV was 1.35% for Trumpāsure, maybe Harris can win NC.
But after NC itās FL at 3.36% in 2020, and TX at 5.58%. I wonāt say never, but 2020 results are about the best I can hope for
In 2016, Trump won AZ by 3.5% and GA by 5.1% and we know what happened 4 years later.
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Unprecedented election fraud?
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Yeah there are timelines where we win one or both of those states, but those are all timelines where Trump completely fell apart, had a stroke or got caught up in a scandal that was a bridge too far for everybody. And as has been pointed out, those are all just running-up-the-score situations, FL is never in a million years gonna be the tipping point state.
Heās getting there. Needs more length on the chin and less on the jowels.
I should be a professional beard consultant. Some of these very wealthy public figuresā beards are just abysmal. Major market opportunity.
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Would be quite nice to get Rick Scott and/or Ted Cruz out of the senate, so Kamala doing well there could pay dividends beyond running up the score.
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https://x.com/NateSilver538/status/1823434538888126716
I kind of doubt Nateās new terminology of village (E coast elites) vs river (contrarian SF tech weirdos, e.g. Elon and Thiel) people will catch on. He self-identifies as a river dude. Hopefully that doesnāt affect the poll averaging.
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duh, democrats were not excited by biden but they were never gonna sit it out. the difference is 1) the excitement level and 2) the engagement of independents who thought ātheyāre both oldā
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Even if he has some insightful observations, āthere are two types of peopleā is not a great framework to advance a theory.
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I canāt even imagine what this could possibly be.