I voted yesterday. I read a sample ballot before heading to the polls, so I was able to get through quickly without having to read all of the ballot initiatives. Not a lot of people, but a steady flow.
Missouri doesn’t have “early voting”, they have " in-person absentee voting". I have no idea why they do that.
Today’s bit of hope:
People waiting 3+ hours in line in Boystown in Chicago to early vote, an area that will likely be Kamala +90 or so.
That sounds more like suppression than hope. White folks in CA don’t wait more than 15 minutes to vote. 0 if done by mail (which is the only way that one should vote in CA).
I want to believe this but it’s just empty words. Show the god damn evidence this is actually happening.
The flood of right wing polls is pretty obvious. Nobody knows what will happen but there is a world where we look back and say “of course she won, look at the women > men voting numbers, lol polls”
I mean, this is pretty much my (very tentative) thinking. Cuz where is Trump supposed to pick up more votes than in 2016? New young male Trump voters are at least partially offset by old ones dying. He’s since caused a deadly riot trying to steal the election, and has become a convicted felon. His increasingly unhinged rhetoric has to turn off moderates and most sane voters. And women figure to turn out in droves
I just don’t see how he wins a fair and square election
Came here to post this, its pretty absurd. Poll results this cycle dont seem to amount to much beyond a guess from pollsters about where they think things stand.
The polling companies are just modeling companies that don’t publish their methodology
I didn’t realize until this year that all polls basically have a dial they can turn to get whatever number they want.
Like 5% of people answer their phone, and I’m pretty sure half of those are shills paid for by Musk.
Theres also not much point in the sort of aggregation Silver does when the polls are self-aggregating.
I’m gonna aggragate the aggregation sites untill I reach The Truth.
Thank you. I’ve added this post to my model.
So that’s it. Easy Kamala blowout. I am 100% convinced now Kamala will win. No more sweating. This isn’t sarcasm, by the way. I have decided with my feels that Kamala will win clearly and I wasn’t really leaning one way or another until recently.
I feel ya, but it’s only Friday. There may still be a Comey.
pollsters: it’s 50/50, she either wins or she doesn’t
