*nauseated. (apologies for the nittery)
Iām still very much in the Kamala wins easily camp
And what about the rat fuckery they could pull using 12th amendment loopholes? Are you confident sheāll be inaugurated even if she wins?
Worry about other stuff man. Run the election, see how it goes, then wonder what will happen if you want to worry again. Thatās it. Nothing to stress about.
OK Iām sitting here next to the fire in my still out-of-power house on my half dead laptop and I took 75mg of edibles 90 minutes ago so its really important that I say that I have absolutely no idea why āeveryoneā is saying this is going to be close, every single thing I have seen in the past two weeks is leading me to think it will not be close at all.
PI, at least, is starting to rebound towards KH and I think by election night it will be clear she is probably going to win, before any votes are reported. I have no real more insights here other than the one thing other than the thc that is making me post this is the video I watched recently where red and blue people are asked what are they going to do/act like if their candidate does not win, and the blue people were all, across genders and races, freaking the fuck out, and the red people were like āmehā.
The betting markets are clearly wrong. Harris might lose, but +170 is transparently insane
In all this theorizing how more people can be voting for Trump, itās just inflation happened under Biden, so obviously to make more money with less taxes itās back to Trump. Thatās what we have to fade more than anything else w/ low info voters. Not immigration or trans panic
More of a Tipi than a camp at this point
The last three Republican presidencies all ended in economic disaster while the last three Democratic presidencies all ended in low unemployment, rising wages, and overall substantial economic growth, but Republican perceptions of the economy depend entirely on the party of the president, while Democratic perceptions of the economy are a blend of reality and the ever-pervasive Republican propaganda.
Also, racism is a luxury good, so when times are good, Vote for the racist, but when times are bad, vote for the party that actually fixes things.
They look like the newest additions to Stranger Things
https://x.com/Politics_Polls/status/1852199859765305655
It all comes down to (modeled) turnout.
Man, I actually donāt think Republicans care that much about politics. They are drawing to a historic loss with a candidate who has bad coattails and has already lost the popular vote twice. Iām not making predictions but their ārisk of ruinā (including Donny J in jail) is uncomfortably high. Any rational actor who cares about the results should be freaking the fuck out.
Weather is looking pretty good in Philly and Atlanta through the election. Hoping that bodes well for turnout.