Yup. I think we’ll know the winner before I go to sleep (I’m guessing before 2am).
Yeah it makes sense that enthusiasm level across states would be a) highly correlated and b) hard to quantify.
Thats a bold prediction
Sure, just say it out loud. Who the hell cares at this point?
I’d be willing to take such a bet and even much more willing to lose it if the winner is Harris
https://x.com/KamalaHQ/status/1852059120955707582
City Council President Dan Lewis said the Trump campaign didn’t receive that answer. Lewis said city leaders responded to their request with an outstanding bill from a 2019 campaign rally. He said that suggests the city is playing politics with the convention center.
I would love for someone to ask Trump to name a state he thinks he lost without any ‘election fraud’, any state, pick one.
Cahhhhliforrrrnia (said in whiny, nasally tone as in all young country songs).
Trump says he would win California if ‘Jesus … was the vote counter’
“Democrats play a different game. And you have ballot harvesting, but you also have people getting ballots,” he said during the interview. “I mean, in California, you have people getting seven ballots.”
“If Jesus Christ came down and was the vote counter, I would win California, OK?” the former president added later. “In other words, if we had an honest vote counter, a really honest vote counter — I do great with Hispanics, great, I mean at a level no Republican has ever done. But if we had an honest vote counter, I would win California.”
Seemingly surprised, McGraw asked, “You think so?”
Trump, the GOP nominee for president, reaffirmed his claim, in part blaming mail-in voting.
“I think so. I do. I see it. I go around California, they have Trump signs all over the place,” he said in the interview. “It’s a very dishonest [state]; everything is mail-in. They send out 38 million ballots, I think it is.”
Meanwhile, Jesus Fernandez says, “No, amigo, I am doing my patriotic duty to count fair and square.”
Easily Delaware. “Joe probably won Delaware without cheating. Tiny little Delaware where people have been fooled to vote for him for years. They don’t realize how good I was for them so they voted for Joe for some reason. Many people are saying people have been paid off. Who can say. But they took pity on him and voted.”
Atlas Intel gives me weird vibes. Ettingermentum has been making fun of them on twitter. Essentially they had a bunch of contrarian and accurate poles in i dont even know if it was 2020 or 2022, which convinced everyone they are legit. Having a house effect and randomly being right doesnt make you a good pollster though.
Noted paid Russian mouthpiece Charlie Kirk is a fucking idiot and its glorious
LeWise
One of my old friends who is now a pastor in Texas wrote this for his church newsletter. I thought it was pretty good. Wish more Christians thought like this.
Summary
I only proposed one question for our conversation: what is one of the driving issues in this election that is guiding the way you will vote? The answers varied from immigration to reproductive rights, to the economy/taxes, and a general concern for democracy to name a few. I’d be interested, for each of you reading this article, to know what are the issues you care most deeply about in this season that are guiding your vote?
In full transparency, one of the main driving issues I am concerned with is immigration. I’ve been thinking a lot about immigration recently, particularly in preparation for a recent trip to the southern border with Fellowship Southwest. While we were along the US/Mexico border, in Brownsville, McAllen, and Reynosa, we had the opportunity to learn from different organizations and pastors about the immigration crisis and the US’s complicity in creating the crisis. One partner said something that stuck with me: immigration policy is literally life and death.
In the Gospel of Luke, in chapter 4, Jesus announces his “ministry plan” to the religious leaders in his hometown when he reads from the Isaiah 61: “The Spirit of the Lord is on me, because he has anointed me to proclaim good news to the poor. He has sent me to proclaim freedom for the prisoners and recovery of sight for the blind, to set the oppressed free, to proclaim the year of the Lord’s favor.” Throughout the Old and New Testaments, God repeatedly directs God’s people to take care of the alien and foreigner among them, to love our neighbors as ourselves, to care for the most vulnerable in our society with a self-sacrificial love. Recently I have been reflecting on a question I read many years ago: would you rather vote for someone who benefits you more than the rest of society, or vote for someone who benefits the rest of society more than you? The second greatest commandment, according to Jesus, is to love our neighbor, and if we are willing to vote for the candidate that benefits ourselves more than the rest of the society, we are no longer following the inclusive love of Jesus, rather we are worshiping capitalism.
Over the next week, as you think about whom you will vote for, my hope is you will spend time reflecting on the most vulnerable in our society, reflecting on those who are on the margins, and in doing so you will find Jesus among them calling us to join him.
Dang they are gonna be super not thrilled with their radical leftist pastor.