2024 US Presidential Election (Taylor's Version)

It’s not clear whether he or the #2 Republican was more Trump-y.

they were basically equally trumpy, but the other guy was way more genuine

Suburban Ohio Republicans are themselves all cosplaying as hillbillies with camo Carhart hoodies and Superduty Ford 350s, they don’t care that JD is a fraud just like them.

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100% this

They don’t realize they are frauds.

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Trump was still picking hi VP with regard to who is willing to support the next coup. That’s my theory until I have different information.

I think if he knew the ticket would be Harris Walz, he would have bought into his own messaging that Kamala is an incompetent loser who the country would never pick over him, the greatest president USA ever had, and would not have cared or changed a thing except workshopping attacks on her earlier in the process.

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But do polls three months before the election mean anything?

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It is not and the quality of this form improves dramatically for everyone when people ignore the abusive shitheads

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https://x.com/Politics_Polls/status/1821570050282950848

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Trump: You n word w word!

The below oversampled women (54/46) but:

https://x.com/Politics_Polls/status/1821565932147274110

Men: 46/46, Women: 50/44

In 2022, women in Wisconsin represented 53% of the vote.

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It’s time we had a conversation about men’s suffrage.

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I’m surprised he takes this much away from it since the responses to the poll in question ended a week ago, but Nate Cohn does tend to know his stuff.

https://x.com/Nate_Cohn/status/1821579829722091864

There’s bound to be a few more plot twists, but right now it seems like Trump is pretty cooked.

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It is so unbelievably odd to see Mr. Double Down ever not double down. I’ve been wrong every single time I’ve said this, but at least some of his supporters will be confused by him backing down on “I’ll see you on Fox or not at all”.

He’ll get some minor detail of the prior agreement changed, or lie about that if he can’t, and then brag to them that he made a great deal. They will lap it up. Until that happens, reporting like this is fake news. There will be no real confusion.

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Now I’m getting a bit shook - I think they’ve finally figured out a winning attack vector.

https://x.com/MikeCrispi/status/1821566842260820060

tl;dr

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The election handicapper Cook Political Report shifted its ratings for Arizona, Georgia and Nevada toward Vice President Harris as she continues to close the polling gap with former President Trump.

All three states had been considered “lean Republican” in early July, while President Biden was still in the race and falling further behind Trump both on the national level and in the key battleground states. But with polls showing Harris getting back within the margin of error of Trump, or in some cases slightly ahead, the three swing states have been moved to be a “toss Up.”

https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/4818198-cook-political-report-arizona-georgia-nevada-tossups/

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What is the difference between EVERYONE ignoring a horrible poster and that poster being banned?