I’m not sure that it is? The spread of these youth vote cross tabs are massive. Also there’s a massive difference between “a shift” and Trump gaining 30 points. The latter is not happening
Youth isn’t likely to change who they vote for by that much imo, and youth voter turnout is lower than for older people, but it also varies more. Walz (along with no-Biden prolly) won’t turn them away from Trump as much as he’ll get them to turn out.
School vouchers don’t work. They kill public schools, particularly those in lower income areas. The vouchers go mostly to families with kids that are already enrolled in private schools.
For example:
A 2023 analysis revealed that most universal ESA recipients in Arizona live in areas with median incomes ranging from $81,000 to $178,000. Just 5 percent come from ZIP codes where the median income is under $49,000.
An earlier Grand Canyon Institute report found that 80 percent of voucher applicants did not attend a public school, meaning they were are already attending private schools or being home schooled.
The above quote is from here: https://www.nea.org/nea-today/all-news-articles/no-accountability-vouchers-wreak-havoc-states
It’s 2024 and we still have Adults In The Room who believe national elections are about swaying fictional moderates of the other party rather than keeping excitement going in the demos that Adults want to take for granted
Old scout sorting by RBI: gotta move right to get votes
Young analytics nerd, and anyone paying any attention at all: you have to drive turnout. Turnout turnout turnout.
How it started:
Then a prescient call by @joltinjake
How it’s going:
Another 3 months to keep the vibes going.
[Gonna request combat pay for going back through that terrible thread.]
In the hours after Vice President Kamala Harris announced Gov. Tim Walz as her running mate, allies of former President Donald Trump rushed to denigrate the Minnesota Democrat, seizing on criticism of his handling of the riots in the wake of George Floyd’s murder in May 2020.
“He allowed rioters to burn down the streets of Minneapolis,” Ohio Sen. JD Vance, the Republican candidate for vice president, said Tuesday.
But at the time, Trump expressed support for Walz’s handling of the protests, according to a recording of a phone call obtained by ABC News – telling a group of governors that Walz “dominated,” and praising his leadership as an example for other states to follow.
“I know Gov. Walz is on the phone, and we spoke, and I fully agree with the way he handled it the last couple of days,” Trump told a group of governors on June 1, 2020, according to a recording of the call, in which he also called Walz an “excellent guy.”
“I was very happy with the last couple of days, Tim,” Trump continued. “You called up big numbers and the big numbers knocked them out so fast it was like bowling pins.”
Welp. Can’t vote Walz because it’s like voting for Trump. Sad!
LMAO “NIXON?” Fuck you!
Welp, knock off another possible line of attack.
Jesus these people fucking suck at this.
I wasn’t sure that a print quote of Trump that destroyed his own line of attack would necessarily be enough to knock it down. But Lordy, there are tapes.
Yuge
People love bandwagoning. You just need to keep the good vibes rolling for another two months or so, then just shift to “Donald Trump has the chance to be the biggest loser in American History and you can make it happen” heading into Election Day
That “Rust belt” survey include Pennsylvania and Michigan but not Ohio! Could a dozen or so of you guys put up some Rust Belt maps so we can discuss the proper delineation here?
Ohio’s Rusty ass is definitely in the Rust Belt
No one called to ask me who I’m voting for, so I assume Ohio is being ignored.