https://x.com/ezraklein/status/1856798502484910130?t=oB9CGjS-vklrbviPaI0IKg&s=19
https://x.com/EdWhelanEPPC/status/1856800721397555264?t=ur5Enu-BfoaXsAN60wEazQ&s=19
But ma’ norms!
Finally libertarians are going to get a fierce advocate for reducing age of consent laws
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I had a glorious two days of being unplugged from politics. But of course Gaetz broke through that.
I actually want all of Fox News to run our government
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Just happened to walk by there an hour ago. The flame area looks like Cock Hill which I recently posted a pic of in the photo thread. One of my dog’s favorite spots. Thanks Biden.
I’m a little late to the bluesky party but it seems pretty good so far.
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Math people help me out here.
Imagine a game where you flip a coin until you get tails. You get a point for each time the coin comes up heads. For example, the sequence T gets 0 points and the sequence HHT gets 2 points.
What is the expected number of points for one round of this game?
It seems like the answer is 1, or at least that seems to be the limit of the infinite sequence that expresses the expected value. But it’s been a long time since I learned about limits, and I’ve forgotten how to show this formally.
it’s one or the other
Reposting since my previous comment was wrong.
This is the infinite sum 1/n^2
half a chance for 1 point (HT), quarter of a chance for an additional point (HHT)…
More rigorously:
Calculate the Expected Value
The expected value is the average of the points you expect to get per game if you played many times. It’s calculated as:
(Probability of Outcome 1 * Points for Outcome 1) + (Probability of Outcome 2 * Points for Outcome 2) + …
So, for our game:
Expected Value = (1/2 * 0) + (1/4 * 1) + (1/8 * 2) + (1/16 * 3) + …
This is an infinite series. To simplify it, let’s call the expected value ‘E’:
E = (1/4) + (2/8) + (3/16) + (4/32) + …
Now, multiply both sides by 1/2:
E/2 = (1/8) + (2/16) + (3/32) + (4/64) + …
Subtract the second equation from the first:
E - E/2 = (1/4) + (1/8) + (1/16) + (1/32) + …
This leaves us with:
E/2 = 1/2 (because the right side is a geometric series that sums to 1/2)
Multiply both sides by 2:
E = 1
Therefore, the expected number of points for one round of this game is 1.
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is it actually decided that trump can even do this? Most of these appointments will be voted on before he even takes office, won’t they? Or, at least, hearings will start, which from what I understand, pre-empts POTUS’s ability to do a recess appointment.
Ultimately it’s up to Tillis from what I gather, he has to explicitly take some step to set up the legal conditions for Trump to be able to make recess appointments, right?
In the Hard Times/Hard Drive Slack, the Hard Times chief posts topical/breaking news topics every day for people to pitch headlines about. At the end of today’s post, he wrote, “And as great as it is The Onion bought Infowars, I don’t think we are going to find a headline about it that does it all justice. We can just sit back and do a slow clap for The Onion.”
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I’m sitting here with my mouth open. Apparently this is real, not onion.
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Does The Onion have more money than Elon? He’s really dropping the ball here.
Elon already owns the new InfoWars.
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At this point would I get in trouble for removing political signs on public property?
You might get shot doing that in USA#1.
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For what it’s worth the specific sign I’m going to take down is a local candidate who lost, and somebody is putting NEW signs up for her. This aggression will not stand, man.
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The onion is under new ownership by a really interesting guy that wants to turn it into a new type of media company that is more ethical than the current ad-based model that existed previously and wasn’t working well financially for the onion. Whether or not that will happen idk but that is what he is saying. listened to a podcast called “better offline” hosted by ed zitron where he interviewed him.